Hwaseong are 5th in the 2026 K League 2 after 25 matches — 41 points from an 11-8-6 record, 38 goals scored and 26 conceded. Market-implied expected points say 34.5 — 6.5 more than they have banked; the underlying numbers place them 7th. The 1:2 against Seoul E-Land was the kindest result. Form over the last five: DLWDD, 6 points. They average 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match; 48% of their matches have cleared 2.5 goals, with 8 clean sheets and 6 blanks in front of goal. Biggest win: 5:1 against Daegu.
Of their 38 goals, the most (8) have come in the 46-60 minute band. 8 of them have arrived after the 75th minute. The first goal in a Hwaseong match has come before half-time 18 times in 25, and 3 matches finished goalless.
Collected 6.5 more points than market odds expected (34.5 xPTS). full table →
Flat-stake ROI of backing them in every match this season. A rare market beat — small samples swing hard, treat as description not advice.
6 points from the last five. Avg 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per match.
Upcoming fixtures — data vs market
league hub →
| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | + | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ansan Greeners– Hwaseong | 2026-09-12 | 10:00 | Under 2.5 ✓ | 58.9% | 48.1% | ▲ +10.8% | 2.08 |
All 2026 results
odds are closing 1X2 prices| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | HT | 1st goal | 1 | X | 2 | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 |  Cheonan City | A | 1:1 | 0:0 | 57' | 3.29 | 3.23 | 2.08 | D |
| 2026-09-05 | Cheonan City | A | 1:1 | 0:0 | 57' | 3.29 | 3.23 | 2.08 | D |
| 2026-08-29 |  Cheongju | H | 2:1 | 0:0 | 52' | 1.91 | 3.29 | 3.56 | W |
| 2026-08-23 |  Jeonnam | A | 1:0 | 1:0 | 36' | 3.53 | 3.46 | 1.89 | L |
| 2026-08-15 |  Busan | A | 0:0 | 0:0 | — | 2.27 | 3.28 | 2.79 | D |
| 2026-08-07 | Seoul E-Land | H | 0:0 | 0:0 | — | 2.61 | 3.36 | 2.35 | D |
| 2026-08-01 | Daegu | H | 5:1 | 3:0 | 15' | 3.12 | 3.37 | 2.04 | W |
| 2026-07-25 |  Asan | H | 3:2 | 2:0 | 19' | 2.26 | 3.14 | 2.94 | W |
| 2026-07-19 | Yongin | A | 0:3 | 0:2 | 38' | 2.77 | 3.09 | 2.38 | W |
| 2026-07-11 | Paju Frontier | H | 1:2 | 0:1 | 15' | 1.67 | 3.48 | 4.66 | L |
| 2026-06-06 |  Suwon Bluewings | H | 1:2 | 1:0 | 42' | 3.46 | 3.20 | 2.00 | L |
| 2026-05-31 |  Gyeongnam | H | 2:0 | 1:0 | 25' | 2.19 | 3.03 | 3.21 | W |
| 2026-05-23 | Cheongju | A | 2:3 | 1:1 | 27' | 2.53 | 3.00 | 2.71 | W |
| 2026-05-17 | Busan | H | 3:2 | 2:2 | 15' | 3.13 | 3.03 | 2.21 | W |
| 2026-05-09 | Suwon FC | H | 1:1 | 1:0 | 30' | 3.11 | 3.14 | 2.13 | D |
| 2026-05-03 | Ansan Greeners | H | 2:0 | 0:0 | 51' | 1.74 | 3.44 | 4.21 | W |
| 2026-04-26 | Seoul E-Land | A | 1:2 | 0:1 | 21' | 1.62 | 3.50 | 4.97 | W |
| 2026-04-19 |  Gimpo FC | H | 2:2 | 0:1 | 38' | 3.72 | 2.93 | 2.05 | D |
| 2026-04-11 | Jeonnam | H | 1:0 | 1:0 | 45' | 2.60 | 3.19 | 2.51 | W |
| 2026-04-04 | Seongnam | H | 1:3 | 0:2 | 3' | 3.04 | 2.84 | 2.44 | L |
| 2026-03-28 | Asan | A | 1:0 | 1:0 | 42' | 2.14 | 3.09 | 3.27 | L |
| 2026-03-22 | Yongin | H | 0:0 | 0:0 | — | 1.80 | 3.32 | 4.07 | D |
| 2026-03-15 | Cheonan City | H | 2:2 | 0:1 | 45' | 2.15 | 3.08 | 3.18 | D |
| 2026-03-08 | Gimhae | H | 2:0 | 1:0 | 17' | 2.05 | 3.11 | 3.41 | W |
| 2026-03-01 | Daegu | A | 1:0 | 1:0 | 9' | 1.61 | 3.64 | 5.15 | L |
Goal timing
league-wide chart →When Hwaseong score
38 goals by 15-minute band — busiest: 46-60' (attribution approximated from goal order, as in the league heat map)
First goal in Hwaseong matches
either side scoring — 18 of 25 matches saw a first-half opener; 3 stayed goalless
Go deeper
Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+