K League 2 2021 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Gimcheon Sangmu	33	69	54.4	+14.7Outperforming ++	1	+8.0	+6.7	1:2 vs Gyeongnam (+1.7)	1:2 vs Gyeongnam (-1.6)
2	Daejeon	33	55	48.6	+6.4Outperforming ++	3	+3.6	+2.8	1:2 vs Anyang (+1.8)	1:0 vs Ansan Greeners (-1.9)
3	Ansan Greeners	32	39	34.2	+4.8Outperforming	8	+1.3	+3.5	0:2 vs Gyeongnam (+2.2)	1:2 vs Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.4)
4	Anyang	34	56	51.2	+4.8Outperforming	2	-2.6	+7.4	1:2 vs Gyeongnam (+2.0)	3:2 vs Ansan Greeners (-1.8)
5	Land-Asan	2	6	2.0	+4.0Outperforming	19	0.0	+4.0	0:1 vs Seoul E (+2.1)	1:3 vs Seoul E (1.9)
6	Land-Busan	2	6	2.3	+3.7Outperforming	16	0.0	+3.7	0:1 vs Seoul E (+2.0)	1:2 vs Seoul E (1.8)
7	Land-Anyang	2	6	2.5	+3.5Outperforming	14	0.0	+3.5	1:2 vs Seoul E (+1.8)	0:1 vs Seoul E (1.7)
8	Jeonnam	33	50	46.8	+3.2Outperforming	4	-3.1	+6.3	0:2 vs Gyeongnam (+1.8)	0:2 vs Bucheon FC 1995 (-2.0)
9	Land-Bucheon FC 1995	2	3	1.7	+1.3On expectation	20	0.0	+1.3	1:2 vs Seoul E (+2.1)	4:0 vs Seoul E (-0.8)
10	Land-Daejeon	2	3	2.6	+0.4On expectation	13	0.0	+0.4	0:1 vs Seoul E (+1.8)	2:1 vs Seoul E (-1.4)
11	Land-Jeonnam	2	2	2.2	-0.2On expectation	17	0.0	-0.2	1:1 vs Seoul E (+-0.1)	1:1 vs Seoul E (-0.1)
12	Land-Gyeongnam	2	2	2.4	-0.4On expectation	15	0.0	-0.4	1:1 vs Seoul E (+-0.2)	1:1 vs Seoul E (-0.2)
13	Bucheon FC 1995	33	33	33.5	-0.5On expectation	9	-3.3	+2.8	0:2 vs Jeonnam (+2.3)	1:0 vs Asan (-1.3)
14	Land-Ansan Greeners	2	1	2.0	-1.0On expectation	18	0.0	-1.0	0:0 vs Seoul E (+-0.1)	1:0 vs Seoul E (-0.9)
15	Land-Gimcheon Sangmu	2	1	2.8	-1.8On expectation	12	0.0	-1.8	0:0 vs Seoul E (+-0.5)	4:0 vs Seoul E (-1.3)
16	Seoul E-Land	16	16	22.9	-6.9Underperforming −−	11	0.0	-6.9	0:3 vs Busan (+1.7)	2:1 vs Daejeon (-1.4)
17	Asan	32	31	37.9	-6.9Underperforming −−	7	-0.1	-6.8	4:0 vs Busan (+2.0)	1:0 vs Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5)
18	Gyeongnam	32	38	46.4	-8.4Underperforming −−	5	-7.0	-1.4	1:2 vs Gimcheon Sangmu (+1.9)	0:2 vs Ansan Greeners (-1.9)
19	Busan	32	35	43.6	-8.6Underperforming −−	6	-6.4	-2.2	1:2 vs Gyeongnam (+1.8)	4:0 vs Asan (-1.7)
20	Seoul E	18	18	28.2	-10.2Underperforming −−	10	-10.2	0.0	2:1 vs Land-Daejeon (+1.7)	0:1 vs Land-Asan (-1.8)