K League 2 2022 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Gwangju FC	38	82	66.5	+15.5Outperforming ++	1	+13.5	+1.9	2:0 vs Daejeon (+1.6)	1:2 vs Gimpo FC (-1.9)
2	Anyang	38	68	57.2	+10.8Outperforming ++	3	+7.2	+3.6	2:3 vs Daejeon (+1.9)	2:3 vs Gyeongnam (-1.5)
3	Daejeon	38	71	61.4	+9.6Outperforming ++	2	+9.1	+0.5	2:1 vs Seoul E-Land (+1.7)	2:3 vs Anyang (-1.7)
4	Bucheon FC 1995	38	60	51.9	+8.1Outperforming ++	6	+11.2	-3.2	2:1 vs Gwangju FC (+2.0)	0:1 vs Gimpo FC (-2.0)
5	Land-Ansan Greeners	2	4	2.0	+2.0Outperforming	21	0.0	+2.0	2:3 vs Seoul E (+2.1)	2:2 vs Seoul E (-0.0)
6	Land-Busan	2	4	2.0	+2.0On expectation	20	0.0	+2.0	0:1 vs Seoul E (+1.8)	2:2 vs Seoul E (0.1)
7	Land-Gwangju FC	2	4	3.3	+0.7On expectation	13	0.0	+0.7	0:4 vs Seoul E (+1.3)	2:2 vs Seoul E (-0.6)
8	Land-Gyeongnam	2	3	2.5	+0.5On expectation	17	0.0	+0.5	0:1 vs Seoul E (+1.9)	2:1 vs Seoul E (-1.4)
9	Gyeongnam	38	53	52.6	+0.4On expectation	5	+5.0	-4.6	3:1 vs Seoul E-Land (+1.9)	1:0 vs Busan (-1.8)
10	Gimpo FC	38	41	40.7	+0.3On expectation	9	-4.0	+4.3	0:1 vs Bucheon FC 1995 (+2.3)	1:0 vs Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5)
11	Land-Daejeon	2	3	3.0	+0.0On expectation	14	0.0	+0.0	0:1 vs Seoul E (+1.6)	2:1 vs Seoul E (-1.5)
12	Land-Jeonnam	2	2	2.4	-0.4On expectation	19	0.0	-0.4	1:1 vs Seoul E (+-0.1)	1:1 vs Seoul E (-0.2)
13	Seoul E	20	29	29.5	-0.5On expectation	11	-0.5	0.0	2:1 vs Land-Daejeon (+1.8)	2:3 vs Land-Ansan Greeners (-1.8)
14	Land-Bucheon FC 1995	2	1	2.5	-1.5On expectation	18	0.0	-1.5	1:1 vs Seoul E (+-0.3)	3:0 vs Seoul E (-1.2)
15	Land-Asan	2	1	2.6	-1.6On expectation	16	0.0	-1.6	0:0 vs Seoul E (+-0.1)	3:0 vs Seoul E (-1.5)
16	Land-Anyang	2	1	2.6	-1.6On expectation	15	0.0	-1.6	0:0 vs Seoul E (+-0.3)	3:2 vs Seoul E (-1.3)
17	Land-Gimpo FC	2	0	1.9	-1.9On expectation	22	0.0	-1.9	3:1 vs Seoul E (+-0.9)	3:0 vs Seoul E (-1.0)
18	Asan	38	51	54.3	-3.3Underperforming	4	+2.9	-6.2	0:4 vs Gimpo FC (+1.7)	1:0 vs Gimpo FC (-1.9)
19	Ansan Greeners	38	33	38.4	-5.4Underperforming −−	10	-3.4	-2.1	2:3 vs Jeonnam (+2.1)	2:0 vs Busan (-1.4)
20	Seoul E-Land	20	19	27.8	-8.8Underperforming −−	12	0.0	-8.8	0:1 vs Gyeongnam (+1.4)	3:1 vs Gyeongnam (-1.6)
21	Busan	38	32	42.0	-10.1Underperforming −−	8	-1.5	-8.6	0:2 vs Asan (+2.1)	0:3 vs Gimpo FC (-1.6)
22	Jeonnam	38	33	50.4	-17.4Underperforming −−	7	-8.7	-8.7	2:0 vs Anyang (+1.7)	2:3 vs Ansan Greeners (-1.9)

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Gwangju FC	38	82	66.5	+15.5Outperforming ++	1	+13.5	+1.9	2:0 vs Daejeon (+1.6)	1:2 vs Gimpo FC (-1.9)
2	Anyang	38	68	57.2	+10.8Outperforming ++	3	+7.2	+3.6	2:3 vs Daejeon (+1.9)	2:3 vs Gyeongnam (-1.5)
3	Daejeon	38	71	61.4	+9.6Outperforming ++	2	+9.1	+0.5	2:1 vs Seoul E-Land (+1.7)	2:3 vs Anyang (-1.7)
4	Bucheon FC 1995	38	60	51.9	+8.1Outperforming ++	6	+11.2	-3.2	2:1 vs Gwangju FC (+2.0)	0:1 vs Gimpo FC (-2.0)
5	Land-Ansan Greeners	2	4	2.0	+2.0Outperforming	21	0.0	+2.0	2:3 vs Seoul E (+2.1)	2:2 vs Seoul E (-0.0)
6	Land-Busan	2	4	2.0	+2.0On expectation	20	0.0	+2.0	0:1 vs Seoul E (+1.8)	2:2 vs Seoul E (0.1)
7	Land-Gwangju FC	2	4	3.3	+0.7On expectation	13	0.0	+0.7	0:4 vs Seoul E (+1.3)	2:2 vs Seoul E (-0.6)
8	Land-Gyeongnam	2	3	2.5	+0.5On expectation	17	0.0	+0.5	0:1 vs Seoul E (+1.9)	2:1 vs Seoul E (-1.4)
9	Gyeongnam	38	53	52.6	+0.4On expectation	5	+5.0	-4.6	3:1 vs Seoul E-Land (+1.9)	1:0 vs Busan (-1.8)
10	Gimpo FC	38	41	40.7	+0.3On expectation	9	-4.0	+4.3	0:1 vs Bucheon FC 1995 (+2.3)	1:0 vs Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5)
11	Land-Daejeon	2	3	3.0	+0.0On expectation	14	0.0	+0.0	0:1 vs Seoul E (+1.6)	2:1 vs Seoul E (-1.5)
12	Land-Jeonnam	2	2	2.4	-0.4On expectation	19	0.0	-0.4	1:1 vs Seoul E (+-0.1)	1:1 vs Seoul E (-0.2)
13	Seoul E	20	29	29.5	-0.5On expectation	11	-0.5	0.0	2:1 vs Land-Daejeon (+1.8)	2:3 vs Land-Ansan Greeners (-1.8)
14	Land-Bucheon FC 1995	2	1	2.5	-1.5On expectation	18	0.0	-1.5	1:1 vs Seoul E (+-0.3)	3:0 vs Seoul E (-1.2)
15	Land-Asan	2	1	2.6	-1.6On expectation	16	0.0	-1.6	0:0 vs Seoul E (+-0.1)	3:0 vs Seoul E (-1.5)
16	Land-Anyang	2	1	2.6	-1.6On expectation	15	0.0	-1.6	0:0 vs Seoul E (+-0.3)	3:2 vs Seoul E (-1.3)
17	Land-Gimpo FC	2	0	1.9	-1.9On expectation	22	0.0	-1.9	3:1 vs Seoul E (+-0.9)	3:0 vs Seoul E (-1.0)
18	Asan	38	51	54.3	-3.3Underperforming	4	+2.9	-6.2	0:4 vs Gimpo FC (+1.7)	1:0 vs Gimpo FC (-1.9)
19	Ansan Greeners	38	33	38.4	-5.4Underperforming −−	10	-3.4	-2.1	2:3 vs Jeonnam (+2.1)	2:0 vs Busan (-1.4)
20	Seoul E-Land	20	19	27.8	-8.8Underperforming −−	12	0.0	-8.8	0:1 vs Gyeongnam (+1.4)	3:1 vs Gyeongnam (-1.6)
21	Busan	38	32	42.0	-10.1Underperforming −−	8	-1.5	-8.6	0:2 vs Asan (+2.1)	0:3 vs Gimpo FC (-1.6)
22	Jeonnam	38	33	50.4	-17.4Underperforming −−	7	-8.7	-8.7	2:0 vs Anyang (+1.7)	2:3 vs Ansan Greeners (-1.9)