Gwangju FC vs Anyang
K League 1, South-Korea · 2026-09-13 · 12:00 CET
LDDWL
LDWWDThe score model made an Anyang win the most likely outcome at 47%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 51%). It finished 1:1 (HT 1:1) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Gwangju FC 1.13 – 1.58 Anyang.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gwangju FC win | 26.2% | 28.1% | -1.9% | ✗ |
| Draw | 27.1% | 28.0% | -0.9% | ✓ |
| Anyang win | 46.7% | 43.9% | +2.8% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.5% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.1% | 48.5% | +2.5% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.0% | 27.9% | +1.1% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 55.0% | 53.1% | +1.9% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 64.5% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 31.3% | 33.2% | -1.9% | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Gwangju FC 47.8 / Anyang 37.3 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Gwangju FC vs Anyang in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.