Bucheon FC 1995 vs Jeju SK
K League 1, South-Korea · 2026-09-12 · 09:30 CET
LDLLL
WDWLLThe score model made a Jeju SK win the most likely outcome at 35%, with under 2.5 goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 40%). It finished 2:2 (HT 1:2) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Bucheon FC 1995 1.13 – 1.16 Jeju SK.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucheon FC 1995 win | 34.0% | 33.9% | +0.1% | ✗ |
| Draw | 30.9% | 29.0% | +1.9% | ✓ |
| Jeju SK win | 35.1% | 37.1% | -2.0% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67.8% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40.1% | 46.6% | -6.5% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19.8% | 26.5% | -6.7% | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 47.6% | 52.4% | -4.8% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 59.4% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 25.7% | 31.6% | -5.8% | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Bucheon FC 1995 24.4 / Jeju SK 49 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Bucheon FC 1995 vs Jeju SK in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.