Malzenice vs Z. Moravce-Vrable
2. liga, Slovakia · 2026-10-25 · 10:30 CET
WLDLD
DLDLLThe score model makes a Malzenice win the most likely outcome at 39%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 50%). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Malzenice 1.38 – 1.30 Z. Moravce-Vrable.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malzenice win | 39.0% | — | — |
| Draw | 25.7% | — | — |
| Z. Moravce-Vrable win | 35.3% | — | — |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.6% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.0% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.0% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 54.2% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 68.9% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 29.6% | — | — |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Malzenice 40.8 / Z. Moravce-Vrable 36.5 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Malzenice vs Z. Moravce-Vrable in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.