Season races
10,000 simulations · updated 20 OctThe season in numbers
Home wins paid out more than the market charged: +2.4% at market prices across 104 matches. The other 6 markets returned less than they cost — the bookmaker margin at work.
Zvolen produced performances worth 11 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 32.5' on average.
Add 2. liga fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 20 OctWe simulate the remaining 2. liga schedule 10,000 times a day. Petrzalka win the 2026-2027 title in 79% of them, projecting ~61 points; Samorin are next at 11%. At the other end, MFK Bytca finish in the bottom three in 98% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Petrzalka | 30 | 61 | 54–68 | 79% | 98% | — |
| 2 | Samorin | 29 | 53 | 46–60 | 11% | 76% | — |
| 3 | Presov | 19 | 49 | 42–56 | 3% | 49% | <1% |
| 4 | I. Bratislava | 20 | 48 | 42–55 | 3% | 46% | <1% |
| 5 | Pohronie | 23 | 48 | 41–55 | 2% | 39% | <1% |
| · · · | |||||||
| 14 | Zvolen | 6 | 29 | 22–35 | — | — | 71% |
| 15 | FK Humenne | 11 | 28 | 22–35 | — | <1% | 77% |
| 16 | MFK Bytca | 9 | 21 | 15–27 | — | — | 98% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 136 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
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<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/slovakia/2-liga/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="2. liga live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/slovakia/2-liga">2. liga stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market vs results
line = cumulative gap between price and outcomeHow each market's prices compared with what happened in every 2. liga match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Petrzalka | 30 | 23.5 | +6.5 | |
| 2 | Samorin | 29 | 21.9 | +7.1 | |
| 3 | Pohronie | 23 | 17.1 | +5.9 | |
| 4 | Povazska Bystrica | 23 | 20.2 | +2.8 | |
| 5 | Galanta | 22 | 13.7 | +8.3 | outperformed expectations |
| · · · | |||||
| 14 | FK Humenne | 11 | 14.0 | -3.0 | |
| 15 | MFK Bytca | 9 | 9.9 | -0.9 | |
| 16 | Zvolen | 6 | 16.8 | -10.8 | underperformed expectations |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisGo deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+