Lehota p. V. vs Petrzalka
2. liga, Slovakia · 2026-10-24 · 14:45 CET
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WWDDDThe score model makes a Petrzalka win the most likely outcome at 48%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 47%). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Lehota p. V. 1.05 – 1.49 Petrzalka.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lehota p. V. win | 26.8% | — | — |
| Draw | 25.7% | — | — |
| Petrzalka win | 47.5% | — | — |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.1% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46.8% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.2% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 50.3% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 66.1% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 26.8% | — | — |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Lehota p. V. 29 / Petrzalka 42.2 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Lehota p. V. vs Petrzalka in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.