Clyde vs Edinburgh City
League Two, Scotland · 2026-09-05 · 16:00 CET
WWDLW
LWWDLThe score model made a Clyde win the most likely outcome at 60%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 64%). It finished 3:2 (HT 0:1) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Clyde 2.16 – 1.12 Edinburgh City.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clyde win | 60.5% | 48.7% | +11.8% | ✓ |
| Draw | 21.3% | 24.7% | -3.3% | ✗ |
| Edinburgh City win | 18.2% | 26.6% | -8.5% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.4% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.5% | 57.7% | +5.8% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.4% | 37.1% | +4.3% | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 60.1% | 59.3% | +0.8% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 77.1% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 43.5% | 39.6% | +3.9% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Clyde 47.4 / Edinburgh City 40.1 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.