Al Taee vs Al Zulfi
Division 1, Saudi-Arabia · 2026-09-13 · 19:20 CET
WLDWL
DDDWWThe score model made an Al Taee win the most likely outcome at 37%, with under 2.5 goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 45%). It finished 0:0 (HT 0:0) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Al Taee 1.27 – 1.21 Al Zulfi.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taee win | 36.9% | 34.9% | +2.0% | ✗ |
| Draw | 29.2% | 27.3% | +1.9% | ✓ |
| Al Zulfi win | 33.9% | 37.8% | -3.9% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.7% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.9% | 48.8% | -3.9% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.6% | 28.6% | -5.0% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 51.3% | 53.5% | -2.2% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 65.9% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 29.0% | 34.5% | -5.5% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Al Taee 36.6 / Al Zulfi 36.6 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Al Taee vs Al Zulfi in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.