The season in numbers
Blindly backing over 2.5 goals in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Al Batin produced performances worth 16 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 31.3' on average.
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every Division 1 match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Final table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abha | 77 | 60.5 | +16.5 | champions — earned it |
| 2 | Al Diriyah | 75 | 73.8 | +1.2 | |
| 3 | Al-Faisaly | 73 |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisGo deeper
One email per matchweek: fixtures with data leans, who's outperforming the market, and anything it's mispricing. Starts with the 2026-27 season. No tips, no spam.
Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+
