Division 1

We simulate the remaining Division 1 schedule 10,000 times a day. Al-Ula win the 2026-2027 title in 95% of them, projecting ~44 points — the race is close to decided. At the other end, Al Jeel finish in the bottom three in 93% of simulations.

#	Team	Pts now	Proj. pts	Range	Title	Top 4	Bottom 3
1	Al-Ula	15	44	38–50	95%	>99%	—
2	Al Zulfi	10	29	23–35	<1%	40%	<1%
3	Al Jabalain	9	29	23–35	<1%	35%	<1%
4	Al Raed	7	29	22–35	<1%	35%	1%
5	Damac	9	29	23–35	<1%	35%	1%
· · ·
16	Al Jandal	5	18	13–24	<1%	<1%	49%
17	Al Bukiryah	2	17	12–23	—	<1%	59%
18	Al Jeel	2	12	7–17	—	—	93%

Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 118 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.

<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/saudi-arabia/division-1/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Division 1 live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/saudi-arabia/division-1">Division 1 stats by Football Charts</a></p>

How each market's prices compared with what happened in every Division 1 match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.