The season in numbers
Blindly backing draws in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Al Bukiryah produced performances worth 3 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 33.4' on average.
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 11 SeptWe simulate the remaining Division 1 schedule 10,000 times a day. Al-Ula win the 2026-2027 title in 91% of them, projecting ~43 points — the race is close to decided. At the other end, Al Jeel finish in the bottom three in 91% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Ula | 12 | 43 | 37–49 | 91% | >99% | — |
| 2 |  Al Raed | 6 | 31 | 25–38 | 3% | 59% | <1% |
| 3 | Al Okhdood | 6 | 31 | 24–37 | 3% | 53% | <1% |
| 4 |  Al Jabalain | 5 | 28 | 22–34 | <1% | 31% | 3% |
| 5 | Al Najma | 5 | 28 | 21–34 | <1% | 28% | 4% |
| · · · | |||||||
| 16 |  Al Bukiryah | 2 | 20 | 14–26 | <1% | 2% | 38% |
| 17 |  Al Jandal | 4 | 19 | 13–25 | — | 1% | 42% |
| 18 | Al Jeel | 1 | 13 | 8–18 | — | <1% | 91% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 135 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
</> Embed this table on your site</> Embed this table — free, updates hourly, keep the credit link
<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/saudi-arabia/division-1/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Division 1 live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/saudi-arabia/division-1">Division 1 stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every Division 1 match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Ula | 12 | 7.7 | +4.3 | |
| 2 | Jeddah | 8 | 4.3 | +3.7 | |
| 3 | Al Okhdood | 6 | 5.8 | +0.2 | |
| 4 |  Al Zulfi | 6 | 6.0 | +0.0 | |
| 5 | Al Raed | 6 | 5.8 | +0.2 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 16 | Damac | 3 | 5.8 | -2.8 | |
| 17 | Al Bukiryah | 2 | 5.4 | -3.4 | |
| 18 | Al Jeel | 1 | 4.0 | -3.0 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysis
Go deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+