Division 1 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Al-Ula | 5 | 15 | 10.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 2 | +2.5 | +2.3 | 0:1 vs Damac (+1.3) | 3:0 vs Jeddah (0.5) |
2 | Al Ula | 5 | 15 | 10.3 | +4.8Outperforming | 1 | +2.5 | +2.3 | 0:1 vs Damac (+1.3) | 3:0 vs Jeddah (0.5) |
3 | Jeddah | 7 | 8 | 6.2 | +1.8On expectation | 18 | +1.1 | +0.8 | 1:0 vs Al Najma (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Al Saqer (-1.2) |
4 | Al Taee | 6 | 10 | 8.6 | +1.4On expectation | 10 | +0.8 | +0.6 | 3:4 vs Al Adalah (+1.5) | 0:2 vs Al Okhdood (-1.3) |
5 | Al Zulfi | 6 | 10 | 8.7 | +1.3On expectation | 8 | +0.5 | +0.8 | 4:0 vs Al Raed (+1.6) | 0:0 vs Hajer (-0.9) |
6 | Al Adalah | 6 | 8 | 6.8 | +1.3On expectation | 16 | -0.1 | +1.4 | 0:1 vs Al Bukiryah (+1.9) | 3:4 vs Al Taee (-1.3) |
7 | Al Anwar | 7 | 9 | 8.7 | +0.3On expectation | 9 | -0.6 | +0.9 | 0:1 vs Al Saqer (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Al Ula (-0.8) |
8 | Al Okhdood | 5 | 6 | 6.8 | -0.8On expectation | 15 | -0.2 | -0.6 | 0:2 vs Al Taee (+1.6) | 4:2 vs Al Wehda (-1.0) |
9 | Hajer | 6 | 6 | 6.9 | -0.9On expectation | 14 | -2.8 | +1.9 | 2:3 vs Al Raed (+2.2) | 0:3 vs Jeddah (-1.5) |
10 | Damac | 7 | 9 | 10.2 | -1.1On expectation | 4 | -1.6 | +0.5 | 1:2 vs Al Bukiryah (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Al-Ula (-1.0) |
11 | Al Jabalain | 7 | 9 | 10.2 | -1.2On expectation | 3 | -0.5 | -0.7 | 0:1 vs Hajer (+1.2) | 3:1 vs Al Ula (-0.9) |
12 | Al Saqer | 6 | 7 | 8.2 | -1.2On expectation | 12 | -1.5 | +0.3 | 0:2 vs Jeddah (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Al Anwar (-1.4) |
13 | Al Orubah | 6 | 7 | 8.2 | -1.2On expectation | 11 | -0.7 | -0.5 | 1:0 vs Al Jeel (+1.1) | 0:1 vs Al Raed (-1.4) |
14 | Al Jandal | 6 | 5 | 6.2 | -1.2On expectation | 17 | +1.6 | -2.9 | 4:1 vs Al Bukiryah (+1.7) | 1:0 vs Al Adalah (-1.1) |
15 | Al Raed | 7 | 7 | 8.9 | -1.9On expectation | 7 | -0.8 | -1.1 | 0:1 vs Al Orubah (+1.7) | 2:3 vs Hajer (-1.9) |
16 | Al Wehda | 6 | 8 | 9.9 | -1.9On expectation | 6 | -0.5 | -1.4 | 4:2 vs Al Okhdood (+1.3) | 1:1 vs Al Adalah (-1.2) |
17 | Al Najma | 6 | 7 | 10.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 5 | +0.0 | -3.0 | 2:1 vs Al Jandal (+1.1) | 1:0 vs Jeddah (-2.0) |
18 | Al Jeel | 6 | 2 | 6.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 19 | -1.6 | -2.4 | 0:0 vs Hajer (+-0.2) | 0:2 vs Al Zulfi (-1.1) |
19 | Al Bukiryah | 6 | 2 | 7.6 | -5.6Underperforming −− | 13 | -3.2 | -2.5 | 1:1 vs Al Okhdood (+-0.1) | 0:1 vs Al Adalah (-1.6) |
