Division 1 2023-2024 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Al Kholood	32	59	48.6	+10.4Outperforming ++	5	+4.1	+6.3	1:2 vs Al Arabi (+2.2)	2:1 vs Al Ain (-1.5)
2	Al Orubah	32	58	49.4	+8.6Outperforming ++	4	+6.5	+2.1	1:3 vs Al Qadisiya (+2.2)	0:2 vs Al Safa (-2.0)
3	Al Qadisiya	32	67	61.0	+6.0Outperforming ++	1	+5.9	+0.1	0:3 vs Al Najma (+1.5)	1:3 vs Al Orubah (-2.0)
4	Al Jandal	32	42	36.2	+5.8Outperforming ++	15	+5.3	+0.5	1:2 vs Al Arabi (+2.3)	1:4 vs Al Batin (-1.5)
5	Al Safa	32	41	36.2	+4.8Outperforming	16	+3.5	+1.4	0:1 vs Al Arabi (+2.2)	0:1 vs Ohod (-1.3)
6	Al Adalah	32	58	53.4	+4.6Outperforming	3	+2.4	+2.2	1:0 vs Al Qadisiya (+1.9)	0:1 vs Al Batin (-2.2)
7	Al Batin	32	47	43.3	+3.8Outperforming	9	-2.4	+6.1	0:1 vs Al Adalah (+2.4)	2:3 vs Al-Qaisumah (-2.1)
8	Faisaly-Al Najma	1	3	0.8	+2.3Outperforming	48	0.0	+2.3	1:2 vs Al (+2.2)	1:2 vs Al (2.2)
9	Faisaly-Al Batin	1	3	0.8	+2.2Outperforming	47	0.0	+2.2	1:3 vs Al (+2.2)	1:3 vs Al (2.2)
10	Faisaly-Jeddah	1	3	0.8	+2.2Outperforming	46	0.0	+2.2	1:4 vs Al (+2.2)	1:4 vs Al (2.2)
11	Faisaly-Al Ain	1	3	0.8	+2.2Outperforming	44	0.0	+2.2	0:2 vs Al (+2.2)	0:2 vs Al (2.2)
12	Al Arabi	32	58	56.0	+2.0On expectation	2	+5.4	-3.5	3:0 vs Al-Faisaly (+1.8)	1:2 vs Al Jandal (-2.1)
13	Faisaly-Al Kholood	1	3	1.1	+1.9On expectation	39	0.0	+1.9	0:3 vs Al (+1.9)	0:3 vs Al (1.9)
14	Qaisumah-Hajer	1	3	1.2	+1.8On expectation	38	0.0	+1.8	2:3 vs Al (+1.8)	2:3 vs Al (1.8)
15	Qaisumah-Al Ain	1	3	1.2	+1.8On expectation	36	0.0	+1.8	1:2 vs Al (+1.8)	1:2 vs Al (1.8)
16	Faisaly-Al Orubah	1	3	1.4	+1.6On expectation	34	0.0	+1.6	1:2 vs Al (+1.7)	1:2 vs Al (1.7)
17	Qaisumah-Al Jabalain	1	3	1.4	+1.6On expectation	33	0.0	+1.6	1:2 vs Al (+1.6)	1:2 vs Al (1.6)
18	Qaisumah-Al Safa	1	3	1.4	+1.6On expectation	31	0.0	+1.6	1:3 vs Al (+1.6)	1:3 vs Al (1.6)
19	Qaisumah-Al Orubah	1	3	1.4	+1.6On expectation	30	0.0	+1.6	1:3 vs Al (+1.6)	1:3 vs Al (1.6)
20	Faisaly-Al Qadisiya	1	3	1.4	+1.6On expectation	29	0.0	+1.6	0:1 vs Al (+1.6)	0:1 vs Al (1.6)
21	Qaisumah-Jeddah	1	3	1.5	+1.5On expectation	27	0.0	+1.5	2:3 vs Al (+1.5)	2:3 vs Al (1.5)
22	Qaisumah-Al Najma	1	3	1.6	+1.4On expectation	25	0.0	+1.4	0:1 vs Al (+1.4)	0:1 vs Al (1.4)
23	Qaisumah-Al Qadisiya	1	3	2.0	+1.0On expectation	20	0.0	+1.0	0:4 vs Al (+1.0)	0:4 vs Al (1.0)
24	Qaisumah-Al Jandal	1	1	1.0	+0.0On expectation	40	0.0	+0.0	1:1 vs Al (+0.0)	1:1 vs Al (0.0)
25	Al Ain	32	38	38.5	-0.5On expectation	12	+3.9	-4.4	0:1 vs Al Najma (+2.0)	2:3 vs Al Batin (-1.5)
26	Qaisumah-Ohod	1	1	1.5	-0.5On expectation	28	0.0	-0.5	0:0 vs Al (+-0.5)	0:0 vs Al (-0.5)
27	Faisaly-Al Safa	1	0	0.6	-0.6On expectation	51	0.0	-0.6	2:0 vs Al (+-0.6)	2:0 vs Al (-0.6)
28	Qaisumah-Al Batin	1	1	1.6	-0.6On expectation	23	0.0	-0.6	2:2 vs Al (+-0.6)	2:2 vs Al (-0.6)
29	Faisaly-Al Taraji	1	0	0.7	-0.7On expectation	50	0.0	-0.7	2:0 vs Al (+-0.7)	2:0 vs Al (-0.7)
30	Faisaly-Al Jandal	1	0	0.7	-0.7On expectation	49	0.0	-0.7	3:0 vs Al (+-0.7)	3:0 vs Al (-0.7)
31	Faisaly-Hajer	1	0	0.8	-0.8On expectation	45	0.0	-0.8	2:1 vs Al (+-0.8)	2:1 vs Al (-0.8)
32	Faisaly-Al Jabalain	1	0	0.9	-0.9On expectation	43	0.0	-0.9	2:0 vs Al (+-0.9)	2:0 vs Al (-0.9)
33	Al Najma	32	40	40.9	-0.9On expectation	11	-2.3	+1.4	3:4 vs Al Orubah (+2.1)	2:4 vs Jeddah (-1.7)
34	Faisaly-Al Bukiryah	1	0	0.9	-0.9On expectation	42	0.0	-0.9	5:2 vs Al (+-0.9)	5:2 vs Al (-0.9)
35	Faisaly-Ohod	1	0	0.9	-0.9On expectation	41	0.0	-0.9	1:0 vs Al (+-0.9)	1:0 vs Al (-0.9)
36	Qaisumah-Al Arabi	1	1	2.0	-1.0On expectation	21	0.0	-1.0	0:0 vs Al (+-1.0)	0:0 vs Al (-1.0)
37	Qaisumah-Al Taraji	1	0	1.2	-1.2On expectation	37	0.0	-1.2	3:1 vs Al (+-1.2)	3:1 vs Al (-1.2)
38	Faisaly-Al Adalah	1	0	1.3	-1.3On expectation	35	0.0	-1.3	2:0 vs Al (+-1.2)	2:0 vs Al (-1.2)
39	Qaisumah-Al Bukiryah	1	0	1.4	-1.4On expectation	32	0.0	-1.4	1:0 vs Al (+-1.4)	1:0 vs Al (-1.4)
40	Faisaly-Al Arabi	1	0	1.6	-1.6On expectation	26	0.0	-1.6	2:1 vs Al (+-1.6)	2:1 vs Al (-1.6)
41	Qaisumah-Al Kholood	1	0	1.6	-1.6On expectation	24	0.0	-1.6	3:2 vs Al (+-1.6)	3:2 vs Al (-1.6)
42	Jeddah	32	36	37.7	-1.7On expectation	13	-4.4	+2.8	1:2 vs Al Orubah (+2.1)	0:3 vs Hajer (-1.6)
43	Qaisumah-Al Adalah	1	0	1.9	-1.9On expectation	22	0.0	-1.9	3:1 vs Al (+-1.9)	3:1 vs Al (-1.9)
44	Al-Faisaly	18	26	28.6	-2.6Underperforming	18	+0.8	-3.4	0:2 vs Al Najma (+1.6)	1:0 vs Jeddah (-1.7)
45	Al Jabalain	32	44	47.0	-3.0Underperforming	7	+7.0	-10.0	1:0 vs Al Kholood (+1.6)	0:2 vs Al Najma (-1.7)
46	Al-Qaisumah	18	12	16.4	-4.4Underperforming	19	-1.1	-3.3	2:3 vs Al Batin (+2.4)	1:0 vs Hajer (-1.1)
47	Al	32	43	47.8	-4.8Underperforming	6	-4.8	0.0	3:1 vs Qaisumah-Al Adalah (+2.2)	1:2 vs Faisaly-Al Najma (-2.0)
48	Al Bukiryah	32	37	42.3	-5.3Underperforming −−	10	+3.4	-8.7	0:1 vs Ohod (+2.0)	2:3 vs Al Jandal (-1.7)
49	Ohod	32	34	43.5	-9.5Underperforming −−	8	-6.2	-3.3	0:2 vs Hajer (+2.0)	0:1 vs Al Bukiryah (-1.6)
50	Al Taraji	32	21	31.6	-10.6Underperforming −−	17	-5.0	-5.5	2:1 vs Al Orubah (+2.0)	0:1 vs Al Safa (-1.6)
51	Hajer	32	25	36.9	-11.9Underperforming −−	14	-6.8	-5.1	0:3 vs Jeddah (+1.9)	0:2 vs Ohod (-1.7)