Division 1 2025-2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Al-Faisaly | 34 | 73 | 55.9 | +17.1Outperforming ++ | 5 | +5.9 | +11.2 | 2:1 vs Al-Ula (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Al Bukiryah (-1.7) |
2 | Abha | 34 | 77 | 60.5 | +16.5Outperforming ++ | 3 | +5.6 | +10.9 | 1:3 vs Al Jabalain (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Al Adalah (-2.4) |
3 | Al Orubah | 34 | 65 | 51.4 | +13.6Outperforming ++ | 7 | +0.4 | +14.0 | 0:1 vs Al Raed (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Jeddah (-2.0) |
4 | Jeddah | 34 | 39 | 33.2 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 17 | -5.8 | +11.6 | 1:2 vs Al Taee (+2.4) | 0:2 vs Al Anwar (-1.6) |
5 | Al Jabalain | 35 | 59 | 55.4 | +3.6Outperforming | 6 | +3.0 | +0.6 | 3:0 vs Al Diriyah (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Al Adalah (-2.0) |
6 | Al Anwar | 34 | 41 | 38.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 12 | +5.1 | -2.8 | 4:2 vs Al Diriyah (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Al Jandal (-1.4) |
7 | Al Diriyah | 35 | 75 | 73.8 | +1.2On expectation | 1 | +7.4 | -4.6 | 2:3 vs Al Raed (+1.3) | 4:2 vs Al Anwar (-2.3) |
8 | Al Bukiryah | 34 | 43 | 41.8 | +1.2On expectation | 11 | +0.1 | +1.1 | 1:2 vs Al-Faisaly (+2.0) | 2:1 vs Al Jubail (-1.4) |
9 | Al-Ula | 34 | 71 | 70.9 | +0.1On expectation | 2 | -0.5 | +3.8 | 1:3 vs Al Diriyah (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Al Wehda (-2.0) |
10 | Al Zulfi | 34 | 45 | 46.1 | -1.1On expectation | 9 | -3.8 | +2.7 | 1:2 vs Al Raed (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Al Taee (-1.9) |
11 | Al Adalah | 34 | 33 | 35.0 | -1.9On expectation | 15 | -1.6 | -0.4 | 0:1 vs Abha (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Al Arabi (-1.5) |
12 | Al Wehda | 34 | 43 | 45.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 10 | -1.7 | -0.8 | 0:3 vs Al-Ula (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Al Jabalain (-1.7) |
13 | Al Jandal | 34 | 32 | 35.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 14 | -2.4 | -0.5 | 2:3 vs Al Arabi (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Jeddah (-1.7) |
14 | Al Taee | 34 | 44 | 48.8 | -4.8Underperforming | 8 | -6.9 | +2.1 | 0:1 vs Al Jabalain (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Jeddah (-2.2) |
15 | Al Raed | 34 | 52 | 56.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 4 | +0.1 | -5.1 | 1:3 vs Al Diriyah (+2.2) | 1:0 vs Al Arabi (-1.8) |
16 | Al Arabi | 34 | 21 | 33.4 | -12.4Underperforming −− | 16 | -4.4 | -8.0 | 1:0 vs Al Raed (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Al Jandal (-2.0) |
17 | Al Jubail | 34 | 14 | 29.1 | -15.2Underperforming −− | 18 | -3.4 | -11.7 | 1:0 vs Al Batin (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Jeddah (-1.5) |
18 | Al Batin | 34 | 22 | 38.5 | -16.4Underperforming −− | 13 | -6.7 | -9.7 | 2:1 vs Al Wehda (+1.9) | 1:4 vs Jeddah (-1.6) |
