Odra Opole vs S. Rzeszow
Division 1, Poland · 2026-09-13 · 17:00 CET
DLLWL
WWWLWThe score model made an Odra Opole win the most likely outcome at 43%, with under 2.5 goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 44%). It finished 0:1 (HT 0:1) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Odra Opole 1.38 – 1.07 S. Rzeszow.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odra Opole win | 43.0% | 48.6% | -5.6% | ✗ |
| Draw | 28.9% | 26.2% | +2.7% | ✗ |
| S. Rzeszow win | 28.1% | 25.2% | +2.9% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.3% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.5% | 54.5% | -10.1% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.3% | 33.2% | -9.9% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 50.3% | 56.8% | -6.5% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 64.0% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 27.1% | 37.5% | -10.3% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Odra Opole 45.6 / S. Rzeszow 45.6 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Odra Opole vs S. Rzeszow in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.