Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord
Eliteserien, Norway · 2026-09-14 · 19:00 CET
WWLWW
DLWDLThe score model made a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely outcome at 78%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 66%). It finished 3:2 (HT 1:0) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Bodo/Glimt 2.66 – 0.76 Sandefjord.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt win | 77.6% | 81.9% | -4.3% | ✓ |
| Draw | 14.1% | 11.2% | +2.8% | ✗ |
| Sandefjord win | 8.3% | 6.8% | +1.5% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.5% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.3% | 77.8% | -11.4% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44.5% | 59.8% | -15.3% | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 49.5% | 54.8% | -5.2% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 79.2% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 43.7% | 55.6% | -11.8% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Bodo/Glimt 40.6 / Sandefjord 40.7 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.