Fastest starters
Rosenborg32%
6 of their 19 goals before 15′ — highest share in the league
Late-goal kings
Brann33%
10 of their 30 goals after 75′ — highest share in the league
Blind ≥2% leans · 2025Backtest
Every lean, backed blind−19.1u
236 leans · 44.1% hit — walk-forward, not the live record
🏆
Bodo/Glimt are 2026 champions — 35 pts
Their xPTS said 34.0: a title won, outperforming the market.
2026-27
next season soon
The season in numbers
The outlier
+60.6uBlindly backing home wins in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Most underrated by results
-5.5 ptsBrann produced performances worth 5 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
46%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 24.6' on average.
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every Eliteserien match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Final table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 35 | 34.0 | +1.0 | champions — earned it |
| 2 | Viking | 34 | 27.1 | +6.9 | |
| 3 | Tromso | 31 | 25.8 |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisGo deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdown
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Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+