Eliteserienhub →Eliteserien 2021 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Viking | 30 | 57 | 43.6 | +13.4Outperforming ++ | 5 | +3.5 | +9.9 | 1:2 vs Sarpsborg 08 (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Sarpsborg 08 (-2.0) |
2 | Lillestrom | 30 | 49 | 41.9 | +7.1Outperforming ++ | 6 | +1.7 | +5.5 | 1:3 vs Rosenborg (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Brann (-2.0) |
3 | Kristiansund | 30 | 46 | 39.4 | +6.6Outperforming ++ | 8 | +8.4 | -1.8 | 1:2 vs Valerenga (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Sarpsborg 08 (-1.8) |
4 | Bodo/Glimt | 30 | 63 | 58.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 2 | +0.7 | +4.1 | 0:2 vs Molde (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Sandefjord (-1.8) |
5 | Sandefjord | 30 | 36 | 32.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 14 | +2.8 | +0.4 | 1:3 vs Tromso (+2.2) | 0:3 vs Stabaek (-2.0) |
6 | Sarpsborg 08 | 30 | 39 | 36.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 11 | -0.2 | +2.5 | 0:1 vs Rosenborg (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Tromso (-1.7) |
7 | Molde | 30 | 60 | 58.5 | +1.5On expectation | 1 | +1.7 | -0.2 | 0:2 vs Bodo/Glimt (+1.9) | 6:0 vs Stromsgodset (-2.0) |
8 | Stromsgodset | 30 | 36 | 36.0 | +0.0On expectation | 13 | +6.0 | -6.0 | 6:0 vs Molde (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Mjondalen (-2.0) |
9 | Rosenborg | 30 | 48 | 49.6 | -1.6On expectation | 3 | -1.6 | -0.0 | 1:3 vs Tromso (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Sarpsborg 08 (-2.1) |
10 | Odd | 30 | 33 | 36.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 12 | -3.3 | -0.2 | 1:3 vs Haugesund (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Sandefjord (-1.7) |
11 | Valerenga | 30 | 45 | 48.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 4 | -0.4 | -3.1 | 2:3 vs Molde (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Kristiansund (-2.1) |
12 | Tromso | 30 | 35 | 39.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 9 | -9.7 | +5.4 | 1:2 vs Lillestrom (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Sandefjord (-2.0) |
13 | Stabaek | 30 | 25 | 29.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 16 | -3.7 | -1.3 | 0:3 vs Sandefjord (+2.2) | 0:3 vs Tromso (-1.5) |
14 | Haugesund | 30 | 35 | 41.2 | -6.2Underperforming −− | 7 | +2.6 | -8.8 | 3:1 vs Valerenga (+1.7) | 1:3 vs Odd (-1.9) |
15 | Mjondalen | 30 | 22 | 30.1 | -8.1Underperforming −− | 15 | -6.7 | -1.4 | 1:2 vs Stromsgodset (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Stabaek (-1.7) |
16 | Brann | 30 | 26 | 38.9 | -12.9Underperforming −− | 10 | -6.5 | -6.5 | 2:3 vs Lillestrom (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Odd (-1.7) |