Eliteserienhub →Eliteserien 2023 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Tromso | 30 | 61 | 40.9 | +20.1Outperforming ++ | 8 | +4.7 | +15.4 | 0:2 vs Bodo/Glimt (+2.5) | 1:2 vs Aalesund (-2.4) |
2 | Viking | 30 | 58 | 48.3 | +9.7Outperforming ++ | 4 | +3.6 | +6.0 | 0:2 vs Brann (+2.0) | 1:5 vs Rosenborg (-2.3) |
3 | Stromsgodset | 30 | 42 | 33.4 | +8.6Outperforming ++ | 12 | +4.3 | +4.3 | 0:1 vs Tromso (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Haugesund (-1.9) |
4 | Bodo/Glimt | 30 | 70 | 62.1 | +7.9Outperforming ++ | 1 | +3.1 | +4.8 | 1:3 vs Molde (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Tromso (-2.3) |
5 | Brann | 30 | 61 | 56.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 3 | +5.9 | -1.0 | 1:2 vs Valerenga (+1.6) | 2:0 vs Odd (-1.9) |
6 | Odd | 30 | 38 | 33.5 | +4.5Outperforming | 11 | +5.1 | -0.7 | 1:0 vs Molde (+2.2) | 4:1 vs Sandefjord (-1.4) |
7 | HamKam | 30 | 34 | 31.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 14 | +1.5 | +0.9 | 2:3 vs Sarpsborg 08 (+2.5) | 1:2 vs Tromso (-1.7) |
8 | Sandefjord | 30 | 31 | 29.2 | +1.8On expectation | 15 | +4.2 | -2.5 | 2:3 vs Valerenga (+2.3) | 0:1 vs HamKam (-1.7) |
9 | Haugesund | 30 | 33 | 32.1 | +0.9On expectation | 13 | +3.0 | -2.1 | 1:2 vs Stromsgodset (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Tromso (-1.5) |
10 | Rosenborg | 30 | 39 | 40.7 | -1.7On expectation | 9 | -1.0 | -0.7 | 1:5 vs Viking (+2.4) | 1:3 vs Stromsgodset (-1.7) |
11 | Lillestrom | 30 | 43 | 45.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 6 | +1.1 | -3.6 | 2:1 vs Molde (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Tromso (-2.0) |
12 | Sarpsborg 08 | 30 | 41 | 46.1 | -5.1Underperforming −− | 5 | -1.2 | -3.9 | 2:1 vs Brann (+2.0) | 2:3 vs HamKam (-2.3) |
13 | Stabaek | 30 | 29 | 34.8 | -5.8Underperforming −− | 10 | +0.1 | -5.9 | 2:3 vs Molde (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Stromsgodset (-1.6) |
14 | Molde | 30 | 51 | 58.1 | -7.1Underperforming −− | 2 | -2.4 | -4.7 | 1:3 vs Sarpsborg 08 (+1.7) | 2:3 vs Stabaek (-2.2) |
15 | Aalesund | 30 | 18 | 28.5 | -10.5Underperforming −− | 16 | -3.5 | -7.0 | 1:2 vs Tromso (+2.5) | 0:3 vs Sandefjord (-1.6) |
16 | Valerenga | 30 | 29 | 42.5 | -13.5Underperforming −− | 7 | -15.4 | +2.0 | 1:3 vs Rosenborg (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Sandefjord (-2.1) |