Eliteserienhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Viking | 30 | 71 | 53.7 | +17.3Outperforming ++ | 2 | +7.6 | +9.6 | 2:4 vs Bodo/Glimt (+2.4) | 3:1 vs Valerenga (-1.3) |
2 | Tromso | 30 | 57 | 48.5 | +8.5Outperforming ++ | 4 | +3.4 | +5.1 | 2:1 vs Bodo/Glimt (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Kristiansund (-2.0) |
3 | Sandefjord | 30 | 48 | 40.8 | +7.2Outperforming ++ | 9 | +10.7 | -3.5 | 0:1 vs Tromso (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Viking (-1.4) |
4 | HamKam | 30 | 37 | 31.0 | +6.0Outperforming ++ | 14 | +4.8 | +1.2 | 2:1 vs Molde (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Stromsgodset (-1.5) |
5 | Brann | 30 | 56 | 51.8 | +4.2Outperforming | 3 | +3.9 | +0.3 | 1:2 vs Tromso (+1.8) | 0:3 vs Molde (-1.9) |
6 | Kristiansund | 30 | 34 | 30.1 | +3.9Outperforming | 15 | +0.9 | +3.0 | 0:1 vs Molde (+2.4) | 1:3 vs HamKam (-1.5) |
7 | Fredrikstad | 30 | 42 | 38.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 11 | +1.9 | +1.3 | 1:2 vs Molde (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Tromso (-1.5) |
8 | Bodo/Glimt | 30 | 70 | 66.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 1 | +0.8 | +2.5 | 2:4 vs Viking (+1.4) | 1:2 vs Sarpsborg 08 (-2.4) |
9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 30 | 41 | 39.1 | +1.9On expectation | 10 | -4.0 | +5.9 | 1:2 vs Bodo/Glimt (+2.6) | 3:2 vs Haugesund (-2.0) |
10 | Valerenga | 30 | 43 | 41.2 | +1.8On expectation | 8 | +6.1 | -4.3 | 3:1 vs Bodo/Glimt (+2.3) | 1:0 vs Bryne (-1.3) |
11 | Bryne | 30 | 31 | 32.4 | -1.4On expectation | 13 | +2.2 | -3.6 | 0:2 vs Stromsgodset (+2.2) | 0:3 vs Sarpsborg 08 (-1.5) |
12 | Rosenborg | 30 | 42 | 48.0 | -6.0Underperforming −− | 6 | -0.8 | -5.2 | 0:2 vs Fredrikstad (+1.6) | 2:3 vs Sarpsborg 08 (-1.8) |
13 | KFUM Oslo | 30 | 35 | 41.6 | -6.6Underperforming −− | 7 | -3.8 | -2.8 | 2:3 vs Molde (+2.0) | 1:4 vs Haugesund (-2.4) |
14 | Molde | 30 | 39 | 48.3 | -9.3Underperforming −− | 5 | -2.4 | -6.9 | 0:3 vs Brann (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Kristiansund (-2.2) |
15 | Haugesund | 30 | 9 | 19.0 | -10.0Underperforming −− | 16 | -6.7 | -3.3 | 1:4 vs KFUM Oslo (+2.6) | 0:3 vs HamKam (-1.1) |
16 | Stromsgodset | 30 | 20 | 33.0 | -13.0Underperforming −− | 12 | -10.3 | -2.8 | 2:3 vs Sarpsborg 08 (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Kristiansund (-2.0) |
