Eliteserienhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Viking | 30 | 57 | 47.7 | +9.3Outperforming ++ | 4 | +6.1 | +3.3 | 0:1 vs Stromsgodset (+1.7) | 1:4 vs Lillestrom (-1.8) |
2 | Fredrikstad | 30 | 51 | 41.9 | +9.1Outperforming ++ | 6 | +2.9 | +6.1 | 0:2 vs Brann (+2.4) | 3:1 vs Kristiansund (-1.9) |
3 | Rosenborg | 30 | 53 | 45.5 | +7.5Outperforming ++ | 5 | +5.3 | +2.2 | 2:3 vs Bodo/Glimt (+2.3) | 1:3 vs KFUM Oslo (-1.9) |
4 | Kristiansund | 30 | 34 | 28.3 | +5.7Outperforming ++ | 16 | +3.7 | +2.0 | 2:3 vs Lillestrom (+2.3) | 1:0 vs Haugesund (-1.0) |
5 | Brann | 30 | 59 | 56.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 2 | -2.0 | +4.9 | 1:2 vs Rosenborg (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Fredrikstad (-2.3) |
6 | Haugesund | 30 | 33 | 32.0 | +1.0On expectation | 14 | -0.7 | +1.7 | 0:1 vs Tromso (+2.2) | 0:1 vs HamKam (-1.4) |
7 | KFUM Oslo | 30 | 37 | 36.6 | +0.4On expectation | 11 | -8.2 | +8.6 | 2:3 vs Molde (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Kristiansund (-1.7) |
8 | Stromsgodset | 30 | 38 | 37.9 | +0.1On expectation | 10 | +1.9 | -1.8 | 1:0 vs Molde (+2.1) | 2:0 vs Odd (-1.5) |
9 | Sandefjord | 30 | 34 | 34.6 | -0.6On expectation | 13 | +1.9 | -2.5 | 0:1 vs Molde (+2.6) | 1:2 vs HamKam (-1.6) |
10 | Bodo/Glimt | 30 | 62 | 62.8 | -0.8On expectation | 1 | -0.8 | +0.1 | 0:5 vs Lillestrom (+1.4) | 2:3 vs Rosenborg (-2.1) |
11 | Sarpsborg 08 | 30 | 37 | 38.5 | -1.5On expectation | 9 | -7.7 | +6.2 | 2:4 vs Molde (+2.4) | 0:2 vs Kristiansund (-2.0) |
12 | HamKam | 30 | 33 | 34.7 | -1.7On expectation | 12 | -4.7 | +3.0 | 1:0 vs Bodo/Glimt (+2.2) | 0:2 vs KFUM Oslo (-1.6) |
13 | Molde | 30 | 52 | 55.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 3 | -4.5 | +1.2 | 1:3 vs Brann (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Sandefjord (-2.5) |
14 | Odd | 30 | 23 | 28.9 | -6.0Underperforming −− | 15 | -4.8 | -1.2 | 1:2 vs Molde (+2.6) | 1:2 vs Haugesund (-1.7) |
15 | Tromso | 30 | 33 | 40.5 | -7.5Underperforming −− | 8 | -5.4 | -2.0 | 0:1 vs KFUM Oslo (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Haugesund (-2.0) |
16 | Lillestrom | 30 | 24 | 41.3 | -17.3Underperforming −− | 7 | -12.3 | -5.0 | 1:4 vs Viking (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Kristiansund (-2.1) |
