Eliteserienhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Molde | 30 | 78 | 55.6 | +22.4Outperforming ++ | 2 | +5.3 | +17.0 | 1:4 vs Bodo/Glimt (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Lillestrom (-2.1) |
2 | Odd | 30 | 45 | 35.8 | +9.3Outperforming ++ | 13 | +3.0 | +6.3 | 0:2 vs Lillestrom (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Sandefjord (-1.8) |
3 | Rosenborg | 30 | 56 | 50.7 | +5.3Outperforming ++ | 3 | +8.2 | -2.9 | 0:4 vs Valerenga (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Sarpsborg 08 (-2.1) |
4 | Lillestrom | 30 | 53 | 47.9 | +5.1Outperforming ++ | 5 | +1.5 | +3.6 | 1:2 vs Molde (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Odd (-2.2) |
5 | Aalesund | 30 | 39 | 36.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 11 | +0.6 | +2.2 | 1:2 vs Stromsgodset (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Sarpsborg 08 (-1.6) |
6 | Haugesund | 30 | 38 | 36.1 | +1.9On expectation | 12 | +0.2 | +1.7 | 0:4 vs Odd (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Sandefjord (-1.7) |
7 | Tromso | 30 | 43 | 43.2 | -0.2On expectation | 8 | +3.2 | -3.4 | 3:2 vs Bodo/Glimt (+2.0) | 2:5 vs Sarpsborg 08 (-1.8) |
8 | Bodo/Glimt | 30 | 60 | 60.7 | -0.7On expectation | 1 | -4.8 | +4.0 | 0:6 vs Valerenga (+1.6) | 3:2 vs Odd (-2.0) |
9 | Jerv | 30 | 20 | 21.4 | -1.4On expectation | 16 | -0.2 | -1.2 | 1:0 vs Lillestrom (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Sandefjord (-1.4) |
10 | Sarpsborg 08 | 30 | 41 | 43.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 7 | -4.7 | +2.5 | 2:3 vs Rosenborg (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Aalesund (-1.7) |
11 | Valerenga | 30 | 44 | 47.2 | -3.2Underperforming | 6 | +0.9 | -4.1 | 0:1 vs Sarpsborg 08 (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Odd (-2.0) |
12 | Sandefjord | 30 | 24 | 28.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 15 | -9.2 | +4.6 | 1:2 vs Viking (+2.6) | 1:2 vs Jerv (-2.0) |
13 | Stromsgodset | 30 | 33 | 38.1 | -5.1Underperforming −− | 9 | -0.3 | -4.8 | 0:3 vs Kristiansund (+1.8) | 0:5 vs Sandefjord (-2.0) |
14 | HamKam | 30 | 31 | 36.8 | -5.8Underperforming −− | 10 | -4.7 | -1.1 | 3:2 vs Sarpsborg 08 (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Odd (-1.8) |
15 | Kristiansund | 30 | 23 | 34.0 | -11.0Underperforming −− | 14 | -4.0 | -7.0 | 0:1 vs HamKam (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Stromsgodset (-1.5) |
16 | Viking | 30 | 35 | 48.3 | -13.3Underperforming −− | 4 | -8.8 | -4.5 | 0:1 vs Lillestrom (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Sandefjord (-2.5) |
