Eliteserienhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Viking | 14 | 34 | 27.1 | +6.9Outperforming ++ | 2 | +5.9 | +0.9 | 5:0 vs Bodo/Glimt (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Sarpsborg 08 (-2.0) |
2 | Tromso | 15 | 31 | 25.8 | +5.2Outperforming ++ | 3 | +2.5 | +2.8 | 1:2 vs Brann (+2.0) | 0:5 vs Brann (-1.7) |
3 | HamKam | 14 | 18 | 14.3 | +3.7Outperforming | 14 | +7.0 | -3.3 | 2:1 vs Viking (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Fredrikstad (-1.0) |
4 | Sarpsborg 08 | 14 | 21 | 17.4 | +3.6Outperforming | 9 | +4.6 | -1.0 | 1:0 vs Viking (+2.2) | 1:0 vs KFUM Oslo (-1.3) |
5 | Lillestrom | 14 | 25 | 21.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 5 | -0.1 | +3.4 | 0:1 vs Molde (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Kristiansund (-2.2) |
6 | Molde | 14 | 23 | 21.5 | +1.5On expectation | 6 | +2.2 | -0.7 | 0:1 vs Bodo/Glimt (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Brann (-1.6) |
7 | Bodo/Glimt | 15 | 35 | 34.0 | +1.0On expectation | 1 | +0.7 | +0.4 | 0:2 vs Lillestrom (+1.3) | 0:1 vs Molde (-2.2) |
8 | Valerenga | 14 | 20 | 20.3 | -0.3On expectation | 7 | +1.3 | -1.5 | 2:3 vs Brann (+2.1) | 2:0 vs Start (-1.6) |
9 | Kristiansund | 14 | 12 | 12.3 | -0.3On expectation | 16 | +0.8 | -1.0 | 1:2 vs Lillestrom (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Start (-1.5) |
10 | Rosenborg | 14 | 18 | 18.9 | -0.8On expectation | 8 | +1.3 | -2.2 | 2:0 vs Lillestrom (+1.6) | 2:3 vs Aalesund (-2.0) |
11 | Fredrikstad | 14 | 14 | 15.7 | -1.7On expectation | 12 | +1.7 | -3.4 | 2:3 vs Aalesund (+1.7) | 2:0 vs Kristiansund (-1.5) |
12 | Sandefjord | 14 | 15 | 16.8 | -1.8On expectation | 11 | -1.8 | +0.1 | 0:1 vs Brann (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Sarpsborg 08 (-1.6) |
13 | Aalesund | 14 | 13 | 15.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 13 | -2.4 | +0.2 | 2:3 vs Rosenborg (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Fredrikstad (-1.4) |
14 | Start | 15 | 10 | 13.3 | -3.4Underperforming | 15 | -0.3 | -3.0 | 1:2 vs Kristiansund (+1.8) | 0:3 vs Rosenborg (-1.2) |
15 | KFUM Oslo | 14 | 12 | 16.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 10 | -0.3 | -4.6 | 1:0 vs Sarpsborg 08 (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Sandefjord (-1.5) |
16 | Brann | 15 | 19 | 24.5 | -5.5Underperforming −− | 4 | -5.0 | -0.5 | 0:5 vs Tromso (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Sandefjord (-2.0) |
