Eliteserienhub →Eliteserien 2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Viking | 24 | 59 | 47.5 | +11.5Outperforming ++ | 2 | +10.3 | +1.1 | 5:0 vs Bodo/Glimt (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Sarpsborg 08 (-2.0) |
2 | Rosenborg | 24 | 40 | 35.4 | +4.6Outperforming | 6 | +3.2 | +1.4 | 0:3 vs Sarpsborg 08 (+1.7) | 2:3 vs Aalesund (-2.0) |
3 | Lillestrom | 24 | 39 | 34.4 | +4.6Outperforming | 7 | -1.0 | +5.5 | 1:2 vs Brann (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Kristiansund (-2.2) |
4 | HamKam | 24 | 26 | 23.3 | +2.7Outperforming | 15 | +3.5 | -0.8 | 0:3 vs Valerenga (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Fredrikstad (-1.0) |
5 | Fredrikstad | 24 | 29 | 26.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 13 | +3.2 | -0.7 | 1:4 vs Lillestrom (+2.1) | 2:0 vs Kristiansund (-1.5) |
6 | Molde | 24 | 43 | 40.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 3 | +2.5 | -0.5 | 0:1 vs Bodo/Glimt (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Aalesund (-2.2) |
7 | KFUM Oslo | 24 | 30 | 28.0 | +2.0Outperforming | 10 | +4.0 | -2.0 | 1:3 vs Sarpsborg 08 (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Sandefjord (-1.5) |
8 | Tromso | 24 | 40 | 39.3 | +0.7On expectation | 4 | +1.4 | -0.7 | 1:2 vs Brann (+2.0) | 0:5 vs Brann (-1.7) |
9 | Bodo/Glimt | 24 | 56 | 55.4 | +0.6On expectation | 1 | -0.1 | +0.6 | 0:2 vs Lillestrom (+1.3) | 0:1 vs Valerenga (-2.6) |
10 | Sarpsborg 08 | 24 | 31 | 31.2 | -0.2On expectation | 9 | -0.2 | +0.0 | 1:0 vs Viking (+2.2) | 1:3 vs KFUM Oslo (-2.0) |
11 | Kristiansund | 24 | 20 | 21.2 | -1.2On expectation | 16 | +2.2 | -3.4 | 1:2 vs Lillestrom (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Start (-1.6) |
12 | Aalesund | 24 | 24 | 26.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 12 | -3.9 | +1.2 | 1:2 vs Molde (+2.4) | 2:4 vs Sarpsborg 08 (-1.5) |
13 | Valerenga | 24 | 29 | 32.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 8 | -1.8 | -1.8 | 0:1 vs Bodo/Glimt (+2.7) | 0:3 vs HamKam (-2.0) |
14 | Sandefjord | 24 | 24 | 27.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 11 | -3.4 | -0.3 | 0:1 vs Brann (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Sarpsborg 08 (-1.6) |
15 | Start | 24 | 19 | 24.9 | -6.0Underperforming −− | 14 | +0.0 | -6.0 | 2:0 vs Brann (+2.0) | 2:4 vs HamKam (-1.9) |
16 | Brann | 24 | 29 | 37.6 | -8.6Underperforming −− | 5 | -3.0 | -5.6 | 2:1 vs Bodo/Glimt (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Sandefjord (-2.0) |