Eliteserien 2020 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bodo/Glimt | 30 | 81 | 58.9 | +22.1Outperforming ++ | 1 | +11.9 | +10.2 | 2:3 vs Rosenborg (+1.8) | 2:2 vs Stabaek (-0.9) |
2 | Valerenga | 30 | 55 | 46.3 | +8.7Outperforming ++ | 4 | +8.7 | -0.0 | 1:2 vs Brann (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Start (-1.5) |
3 | Kristiansund | 30 | 48 | 42.5 | +5.5Outperforming ++ | 7 | -0.1 | +5.6 | 1:2 vs Viking (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Haugesund (-2.1) |
4 | Molde | 30 | 62 | 56.7 | +5.3Outperforming ++ | 2 | +4.7 | +0.6 | 1:4 vs Odd (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Sandefjord (-2.3) |
5 | Sandefjord | 30 | 35 | 29.9 | +5.1Outperforming ++ | 15 | -1.1 | +6.1 | 0:1 vs Molde (+2.4) | 0:2 vs Kristiansund (-1.3) |
6 | Viking | 30 | 44 | 40.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 8 | +1.2 | +2.1 | 3:0 vs Rosenborg (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Kristiansund (-1.7) |
7 | Stabaek | 30 | 39 | 36.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 12 | -0.0 | +2.6 | 1:2 vs Kristiansund (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Brann (-1.3) |
8 | Odd | 30 | 43 | 42.6 | +0.4On expectation | 6 | +1.5 | -1.1 | 1:2 vs Viking (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Start (-2.0) |
9 | Rosenborg | 30 | 52 | 53.0 | -1.0On expectation | 3 | +3.4 | -4.5 | 1:2 vs Brann (+1.7) | 2:3 vs Brann (-2.0) |
10 | Haugesund | 30 | 39 | 40.4 | -1.4On expectation | 9 | -2.0 | +0.7 | 1:3 vs Kristiansund (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Aalesund (-2.2) |
11 | Start | 30 | 27 | 32.6 | -5.6Underperforming −− | 14 | +1.4 | -7.1 | 1:2 vs Odd (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Sandefjord (-1.7) |
12 | Stromsgodset | 30 | 31 | 37.0 | -6.0Underperforming −− | 11 | -5.8 | -0.2 | 2:3 vs Haugesund (+2.0) | 3:4 vs Sandefjord (-1.9) |
13 | Mjondalen | 30 | 27 | 33.2 | -6.2Underperforming −− | 13 | -1.1 | -5.0 | 0:1 vs Brann (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Sandefjord (-1.5) |
14 | Brann | 30 | 36 | 43.1 | -7.1Underperforming −− | 5 | -8.3 | +1.2 | 1:2 vs Molde (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Mjondalen (-2.0) |
15 | Sarpsborg 08 | 30 | 32 | 40.0 | -8.0Underperforming −− | 10 | -2.1 | -5.8 | 2:1 vs Molde (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Stromsgodset (-1.7) |
16 | Aalesund | 30 | 11 | 27.6 | -16.6Underperforming −− | 16 | -10.1 | -6.4 | 0:1 vs Haugesund (+2.4) | 1:3 vs Stabaek (-1.4) |
