Inter Kashi vs East Bengal
ISL, India · 2026-10-23 · 13:30 CET
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WDDWWThe score model made an East Bengal win the most likely outcome at 53%, with under 2.5 goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 45%). It finished 1:5 (HT 1:4) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Inter Kashi 0.86 – 1.61 East Bengal.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Kashi win | 18.0% | 10.5% | +7.5% | ✗ |
| Draw | 29.0% | 18.1% | +10.9% | ✗ |
| East Bengal win | 53.0% | 71.4% | -18.3% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.6% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.8% | 59.4% | -14.7% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.5% | 38.9% | -15.3% | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 48.1% | 47.4% | +0.7% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 57.9% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 20.6% | 40.5% | -19.8% | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Inter Kashi 10.8 / East Bengal 21 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Inter Kashi vs East Bengal in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.