Season races
10,000 simulations · updated 27 OctThe season in numbers
Every market returned less than it cost this season. The closest, draws, returned −0.5% at market prices across 17 matches — the bookmaker margin at work.
Mumbai City produced performances worth 3 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 36.4' on average.
Upcoming fixtures — data vs market
all leagues →
Mohun Bagan – Punjab2026-10-31 14:00Under 2.5Model 54.2%Implied 48.1%▲ +6.1%- Chennaiyin – Kerala Blasters2026-10-31 11:30DrawModel 32.0%Implied 30.1%▲ +1.9%
| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mohun Bagan– Punjab | 2026-10-31 | 14:00 | Under 2.5 | 54.2% | 48.1% | ▲ +6.1% | 2.08 |
| 2 |  Chennaiyin– Kerala Blasters | 2026-10-31 | 11:30 | Draw | 32.0% | 30.1% | ▲ +1.9% | 3.32 |
Add ISL fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 27 OctWe simulate the remaining ISL schedule 10,000 times a day. East Bengal win the 2026-2027 title in 35% of them, projecting ~23 points; Mohun Bagan are next at 26%. At the other end, Inter Kashi finish in the bottom three in 80% of simulations. Biggest move after the latest results: Mohun Bagan's title chance up 3 points in a day.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  East Bengal | 6 | 23 | 18–28 | 35% | 81% | <1% |
| 2 | Mohun Bagan | 6 | 23 | 18–27 | ▲26% | 79% | <1% |
| 3 |  Bengaluru FC | 6 | 21 | 16–26 | 14% | 60% | <1% |
| 4 | North East Utd | 7 | 20 | 15–25 | 10% | 57% | <1% |
| 5 | Punjab | 7 | 19 | 14–24 | 6% | 41% | 2% |
| · · · | |||||||
| 11 |  SC Delhi | 0 | 11 | 7–16 | <1% | 2% | 50% |
| 12 | Chennaiyin | 1 | 11 | 6–16 | <1% | 1% | 56% |
| 13 |  Inter Kashi | 1 | 9 | 5–13 | — | <1% | 80% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 61 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
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Market vs results
line = cumulative gap between price and outcomeHow each market's prices compared with what happened in every ISL match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North East Utd | 7 | 4.5 | +2.5 | |
| 2 | Punjab | 7 | 4.6 | +2.4 | |
| 3 | East Bengal | 6 | 3.5 | +2.5 | |
| 4 | Bengaluru FC | 6 | 3.8 | +2.2 | |
| 5 | Mohun Bagan | 6 | 6.2 | -0.2 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 11 | Chennaiyin | 1 | 2.3 | -1.3 | |
| 12 | Inter Kashi | 1 | 2.0 | -1.0 | |
| 13 | SC Delhi | 0 | 1.4 | -1.4 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysis
Go deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+