Norderstedt vs Hannoverscher SC
Regionalliga North, Germany · 2026-09-16 · 18:30 CET
LDLWL
LLWWDThe score model made a Norderstedt win the most likely outcome at 50%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 73%). It finished 3:3 (HT 1:1) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Norderstedt 2.15 – 1.62 Hannoverscher SC.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norderstedt win | 49.6% | 45.4% | +4.2% | ✗ |
| Draw | 21.3% | 24.7% | -3.4% | ✓ |
| Hannoverscher SC win | 29.1% | 29.8% | -0.8% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89.3% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.7% | 67.8% | +4.9% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 52.1% | 49.1% | +3.0% | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 71.2% | 68.8% | +2.4% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 77.4% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 43.6% | 48.4% | -4.7% | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Norderstedt 45.6 / Hannoverscher SC 28.5 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Norderstedt vs Hannoverscher SC in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.