Braunschweig vs SG Dynamo Dresden
2. Bundesliga, Germany · 2026-09-12 · 13:00 CET
LDLWL
LLDLDThe score model made an SG Dynamo Dresden win the most likely outcome at 40%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 59%). It finished 2:2 (HT 1:1) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Braunschweig 1.48 – 1.58 SG Dynamo Dresden.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 35.6% | 34.7% | +1.0% | ✗ |
| Draw | 24.6% | 26.6% | -2.0% | ✓ |
| SG Dynamo Dresden win | 39.7% | 38.7% | +1.0% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.3% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.0% | 60.3% | -1.2% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.6% | 39.8% | -3.2% | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 61.7% | 63.8% | -2.2% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 77.8% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 46.4% | 41.5% | +5.0% | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Braunschweig 43.1 / SG Dynamo Dresden 25 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Braunschweig vs SG Dynamo Dresden in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.