Enppi vs Pyramids
Premier League, Egypt · 2026-09-17 · 19:00 CET
DWLLL
WWWWWThe score model made a Pyramids win the most likely outcome at 59%, with under 2.5 goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 44%). It finished 1:2 (HT 0:0) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Enppi 0.74 – 1.70 Pyramids.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enppi win | 14.5% | 10.9% | +3.6% | ✗ |
| Draw | 26.7% | 22.7% | +4.0% | ✗ |
| Pyramids win | 58.8% | 66.4% | -7.6% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.6% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.2% | 43.2% | +1.0% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.1% | 23.3% | -0.3% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 44.4% | 37.4% | +7.0% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 68.7% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 35.7% | 29.1% | +6.6% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Enppi 34.1 / Pyramids 34.6 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Enppi vs Pyramids in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.