Wadi Degla vs Arab Contractors
Premier League, Egypt · 2026-09-15 · 16:00 CET
DLLDD
WDWDWThe score model made a Wadi Degla win the most likely outcome at 47%, with under 2.5 goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 36%). It finished 0:2 (HT 0:0) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Wadi Degla 1.33 – 0.81 Arab Contractors.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wadi Degla win | 47.2% | 47.9% | -0.8% | ✗ |
| Draw | 31.9% | 30.5% | +1.5% | ✗ |
| Arab Contractors win | 20.9% | 21.6% | -0.7% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64.8% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36.0% | 37.8% | -1.8% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16.9% | 19.7% | -2.8% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 42.6% | 43.0% | -0.4% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 56.4% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 22.3% | 26.5% | -4.1% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Wadi Degla 25 / Arab Contractors 34.1 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Wadi Degla vs Arab Contractors in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.