Silkeborg vs Viborg
Superliga, Denmark · 2026-09-13 · 14:00 CET
DDWDL
WLDWWThe score model made a Viborg win the most likely outcome at 44%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 60%). It finished 1:1 (HT 1:0) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Silkeborg 1.40 – 1.71 Viborg.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silkeborg win | 30.6% | 25.2% | +5.4% | ✗ |
| Draw | 25.1% | 23.7% | +1.4% | ✓ |
| Viborg win | 44.3% | 51.0% | -6.8% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.5% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.2% | 61.7% | -1.5% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.8% | 40.6% | -2.8% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 62.6% | 61.7% | +0.8% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 80.2% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 49.8% | 42.3% | +7.5% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Silkeborg 37.2 / Viborg 36.2 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Silkeborg vs Viborg in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.