Prostejov vs Taborsko
ChNL, Czech-Republic · 2026-09-04 · 18:00 CET
LDDDD
LDDLLThe score model made a Taborsko win the most likely outcome at 44%, with under 2.5 goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 42%). It finished 1:1 (HT 0:1) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Prostejov 1.02 – 1.33 Taborsko.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prostejov win | 29.1% | 34.1% | -5.0% | ✗ |
| Draw | 26.7% | 28.4% | -1.8% | ✓ |
| Taborsko win | 44.2% | 37.5% | +6.8% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67.7% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41.8% | 49.7% | -7.9% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21.2% | 29.6% | -8.5% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 46.7% | 55.2% | -8.6% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 67.9% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 31.0% | 34.3% | -3.3% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Prostejov 40.7 / Taborsko 40.6 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.