Hradec Kralove B vs Neratovice
3. CFL - Group B, Czech-Republic · 2026-09-06 · 10:15 CET
DLWLL
LDLWWThe score model made a Hradec Kralove B win the most likely outcome at 66%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 68%). It finished 0:0 (HT 0:0) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Hradec Kralove B 2.39 – 1.09 Neratovice.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hradec Kralove B win | 65.8% | 54.1% | +11.7% | ✗ |
| Draw | 18.9% | 23.2% | -4.3% | ✓ |
| Neratovice win | 15.3% | 22.7% | -7.4% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.6% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.6% | 60.8% | +6.8% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46.0% | 40.2% | +5.8% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 60.7% | 60.8% | -0.1% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 79.7% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 44.1% | 41.3% | +2.8% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Hradec Kralove B 42.9 / Neratovice 25.6 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.