Mlada Boleslav B vs Zapy
3. CFL - Group B, Czech-Republic · 2026-09-05 · 10:15 CET
WWWLW
DWWWDThe score model makes a Zapy win the most likely outcome at 50%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 54%). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Mlada Boleslav B 1.14 – 1.69 Zapy.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mlada Boleslav B win | 25.1% | — | — |
| Draw | 24.9% | — | — |
| Zapy win | 50.0% | — | — |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.8% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.8% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.5% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 55.9% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 75.7% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 38.4% | — | — |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Mlada Boleslav B 42.6 / Zapy 41.6 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.