Pribram B vs Bohemians 1905 B
3. CFL - Group A, Czech-Republic · 2026-09-05 · 15:00 CET
LDDDD
LWDDDThe score model made a Bohemians 1905 B win the most likely outcome at 40%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 66%). It finished 7:2 (HT 3:1) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Pribram B 1.66 – 1.75 Bohemians 1905 B.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pribram B win | 36.6% | 36.6% | -0.0% | ✓ |
| Draw | 23.1% | 23.6% | -0.5% | ✗ |
| Bohemians 1905 B win | 40.4% | 39.8% | +0.5% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.6% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.1% | 62.9% | +3.2% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44.3% | 42.4% | +1.9% | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 67.1% | 64.8% | +2.3% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 83.2% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 57.2% | 43.6% | +13.6% | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Pribram B 24.6 / Bohemians 1905 B 41.4 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.