Season races
10,000 simulations · updated 27 OctThe season in numbers
Draws paid out more than the market charged: +16.3% at market prices across 95 matches. 2 other markets also came out ahead; the rest returned less than they cost.
Povltavska FA produced performances worth 8 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 21.5' on average.
Add CFL - Group A fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 27 OctWe simulate the remaining CFL - Group A schedule 10,000 times a day. Kraluv Dvur win the 2026-2027 title in 36% of them, projecting ~32 points; Ceske Budejovice are next at 44%. At the other end, Povltavska FA finish in the bottom three in >99% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kraluv Dvur | 26 | 32 | 29–35 | 36% | 96% | — |
| 2 | Ceske Budejovice | 26 | 32 | 29–35 | 44% | 97% | — |
| 3 |  Plzen B | 23 | 31 | 27–33 | 17% | 93% | — |
| 4 |  Motorlet Prague | 24 | 28 | 25–30 | 2% | 58% | — |
| 5 |  Domazlice | 21 | 27 | 24–30 | <1% | 35% | — |
| · · · | |||||||
| 14 | Benesov | 10 | 14 | 11–17 | — | — | 70% |
| 15 |  Aritma Prague | 9 | 12 | 9–14 | — | — | 95% |
| 16 | Povltavska FA | 3 | 5 | 3–7 | — | — | >99% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 27 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
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<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/czech-republic/3-cfl-group-a/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="CFL - Group A live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/czech-republic/3-cfl-group-a">CFL - Group A stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market vs results
line = cumulative gap between price and outcomeHow each market's prices compared with what happened in every CFL - Group A match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ceske Budejovice | 26 | 21.5 | +4.5 | |
| 2 | Kraluv Dvur | 26 | 16.4 | +9.6 | outperformed expectations |
| 3 | Motorlet Prague | 24 | 20.2 | +3.8 | |
| 4 | Plzen B | 23 | 18.6 | +4.4 | |
| 5 | Domazlice | 21 | 19.6 | +1.4 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 14 | Benesov | 10 | 14.0 | -4.0 | |
| 15 | Aritma Prague | 9 | 13.3 | -4.3 | |
| 16 | Povltavska FA | 3 | 10.7 | -7.7 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysis
Go deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+