Season races
10,000 simulations · updated 14 OctThe season in numbers
Draws paid out more than the market charged: +25.4% at market prices across 80 matches. 2 other markets also came out ahead; the rest returned less than they cost.
Povltavska FA produced performances worth 6 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 22.1' on average.
Add CFL - Group A fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 14 OctWe simulate the remaining CFL - Group A schedule 10,000 times a day. Ceske Budejovice win the 2026-2027 title in 49% of them, projecting ~32 points; Domazlice are next at 22%. At the other end, Povltavska FA finish in the bottom three in 98% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ceske Budejovice | 22 | 32 | 29–35 | 49% | 95% | — |
| 2 |  Domazlice | 21 | 31 | 27–34 | 22% | 89% | — |
| 3 |  Kraluv Dvur | 22 | 30 | 26–34 | 16% | 78% | — |
| 4 | Sparta Prague B | 16 | 28 | 24–32 | 8% | 60% | — |
| 5 |  Plzen B | 17 | 28 | 24–32 | 3% | 49% | — |
| · · · | |||||||
| 14 |  Aritma Prague | 8 | 12 | 9–16 | — | — | 73% |
| 15 | Benesov | 7 | 12 | 8–15 | — | — | 74% |
| 16 | Povltavska FA | 3 | 8 | 4–11 | — | — | 98% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 42 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
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<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/czech-republic/3-cfl-group-a/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="CFL - Group A live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/czech-republic/3-cfl-group-a">CFL - Group A stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market vs results
line = cumulative gap between price and outcomeHow each market's prices compared with what happened in every CFL - Group A match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ceske Budejovice | 22 | 17.8 | +4.2 | |
| 2 | Kraluv Dvur | 22 | 13.5 | +8.5 | outperformed expectations |
| 3 | Domazlice | 21 | 17.1 | +3.9 | |
| 4 |  Motorlet Prague | 20 | 17.4 | +2.6 | |
| 5 | Plzen B | 17 | 15.0 | +2.0 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 14 | Aritma Prague | 8 | 11.7 | -3.7 | |
| 15 | Benesov | 7 | 12.4 | -5.4 | |
| 16 | Povltavska FA | 3 | 8.8 | -5.8 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysis
Go deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+