3. CFL - Group A 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Kraluv Dvur | 8 | 19 | 11.9 | +7.0Outperforming ++ | 8 | +0.7 | +6.4 | 1:3 vs Dukla Prague B (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Domazlice (-1.2) |
2 | Domazlice | 9 | 20 | 14.5 | +5.5Outperforming ++ | 5 | +2.9 | +2.6 | 1:2 vs Kraluv Dvur (+1.5) | 4:4 vs Admira Prague (-0.9) |
3 | Motorlet Prague | 10 | 20 | 16.2 | +3.8Outperforming | 1 | +2.7 | +1.1 | 0:2 vs Pisek (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Plzen B (-1.1) |
4 | Ceske Budejovice | 9 | 19 | 15.6 | +3.4Outperforming | 3 | +2.8 | +0.6 | 2:4 vs Plzen B (+1.8) | 3:2 vs Pisek (-1.4) |
5 | Plzen B | 8 | 16 | 13.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 6 | +1.4 | +0.8 | 0:1 vs Admira Prague (+1.4) | 2:4 vs Ceske Budejovice (-1.5) |
6 | Slavia Prague U20 | 9 | 14 | 12.2 | +1.8On expectation | 7 | -0.1 | +1.9 | 0:2 vs Benesov (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Dukla Prague B (-1.5) |
7 | Loko Praha | 9 | 12 | 10.3 | +1.7On expectation | 13 | -1.8 | +0.5 | 1:0 vs Dukla Prague B (+1.5) | 2:3 vs Kraluv Dvur (-1.3) |
8 | Pribram B | 9 | 9 | 9.1 | -0.1On expectation | 15 | -0.3 | +0.2 | 1:3 vs Admira Prague (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Ceske Budejovice (-1.2) |
9 | Bohemians 1905 B | 9 | 9 | 10.5 | -1.5On expectation | 12 | +2.2 | -3.8 | 3:0 vs Plzen B (+1.6) | 7:2 vs Pribram B (-1.5) |
10 | Sparta Prague B | 8 | 13 | 16.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 2 | -0.7 | -2.3 | 0:4 vs Loko Praha (+1.2) | 0:1 vs Admira Prague (-2.1) |
11 | Aritma Prague | 9 | 7 | 10.2 | -3.2Underperforming | 14 | -1.4 | -1.8 | 3:2 vs Admira Prague (+1.8) | 1:3 vs Slavia Prague U20 (-1.3) |
12 | Admira Prague | 9 | 8 | 11.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 10 | -1.3 | -2.0 | 0:1 vs Sparta Prague B (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Pribram B (-1.9) |
13 | Dukla Prague B | 10 | 8 | 11.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 9 | -0.8 | -2.5 | 2:1 vs Slavia Prague U20 (+1.8) | 1:3 vs Kraluv Dvur (-1.5) |
14 | Benesov | 9 | 7 | 11.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 11 | -2.6 | -1.4 | 3:1 vs Povltavska FA (+1.2) | 0:2 vs Slavia Prague U20 (-1.9) |
15 | Pisek | 9 | 10 | 14.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 4 | -2.0 | -2.5 | 3:2 vs Ceske Budejovice (+1.7) | 0:2 vs Motorlet Prague (-1.8) |
16 | Povltavska FA | 10 | 3 | 8.1 | -5.1Underperforming −− | 16 | -2.9 | -2.3 | 0:0 vs Sparta Prague B (+0.3) | 2:4 vs Loko Praha (-1.1) |
