3. CFL - Group A 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
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Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Kraluv Dvur | 14 | 33 | 21.4 | +11.6Outperforming ++ | 6 | +2.2 | +9.3 | 1:3 vs Dukla Prague B (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Domazlice (-1.2) |
2 | Loko Praha | 15 | 25 | 17.0 | +8.0Outperforming ++ | 12 | +2.8 | +2.2 | 0:2 vs Plzen B (+2.4) | 2:3 vs Kraluv Dvur (-1.3) |
3 | Motorlet Prague | 16 | 30 | 24.2 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 5 | +5.2 | +0.6 | 0:2 vs Pisek (+2.0) | 4:1 vs Kraluv Dvur (-1.2) |
4 | Plzen B | 15 | 32 | 26.3 | +5.7Outperforming ++ | 2 | +0.7 | +5.0 | 1:3 vs Sparta Prague B (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Loko Praha (-2.2) |
5 | Domazlice | 15 | 30 | 24.9 | +5.2Outperforming ++ | 4 | +1.0 | +4.1 | 1:2 vs Kraluv Dvur (+1.5) | 2:2 vs Pribram B (-1.6) |
6 | Ceske Budejovice | 14 | 30 | 25.4 | +4.6Outperforming | 3 | +4.3 | +0.2 | 2:4 vs Plzen B (+1.8) | 3:2 vs Pisek (-1.4) |
7 | Benesov | 14 | 16 | 17.2 | -1.2On expectation | 11 | -0.9 | -0.2 | 2:3 vs Pribram B (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Slavia Prague U20 (-1.9) |
8 | Slavia Prague U20 | 13 | 15 | 16.7 | -1.7On expectation | 13 | -1.2 | -0.5 | 0:2 vs Benesov (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Dukla Prague B (-1.5) |
9 | Pribram B | 15 | 14 | 15.8 | -1.8On expectation | 14 | -3.5 | +1.6 | 1:3 vs Admira Prague (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Benesov (-1.5) |
10 | Bohemians 1905 B | 14 | 14 | 17.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 10 | +2.3 | -6.3 | 3:0 vs Plzen B (+1.6) | 7:2 vs Pribram B (-1.5) |
11 | Pisek | 14 | 17 | 21.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 7 | -1.6 | -2.6 | 0:1 vs Sparta Prague B (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Motorlet Prague (-1.8) |
12 | Admira Prague | 14 | 14 | 18.5 | -4.5Underperforming | 9 | -1.7 | -2.8 | 0:1 vs Sparta Prague B (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Pribram B (-1.9) |
13 | Dukla Prague B | 16 | 15 | 19.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 8 | +0.5 | -5.0 | 2:1 vs Slavia Prague U20 (+1.8) | 1:3 vs Kraluv Dvur (-1.5) |
14 | Aritma Prague | 15 | 10 | 15.4 | -5.4Underperforming −− | 15 | -2.9 | -2.5 | 3:2 vs Admira Prague (+1.8) | 1:3 vs Slavia Prague U20 (-1.3) |
15 | Sparta Prague B | 14 | 19 | 27.6 | -8.6Underperforming −− | 1 | -5.2 | -3.4 | 0:4 vs Loko Praha (+1.2) | 0:1 vs Admira Prague (-2.1) |
16 | Povltavska FA | 16 | 4 | 12.7 | -8.7Underperforming −− | 16 | -5.4 | -3.3 | 1:1 vs Bohemians 1905 B (+0.3) | 0:2 vs Pribram B (-1.2) |
