3. CFL - Group Ahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bohemians 1905 B | 30 | 48 | 36.6 | +11.4Outperforming ++ | 12 | +2.9 | +8.6 | 2:1 vs Domazlice (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Petrin Plzen (-1.9) |
2 | Motorlet Prague | 30 | 50 | 40.4 | +9.6Outperforming ++ | 7 | -0.3 | +9.9 | 2:5 vs Velvary (+2.4) | 1:6 vs Bohemians 1905 B (-1.5) |
3 | Dukla Prague B | 30 | 46 | 36.9 | +9.1Outperforming ++ | 11 | +3.0 | +6.1 | 0:1 vs Velvary (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Ceske Budejovice B (-1.9) |
4 | Pisek | 30 | 42 | 34.8 | +7.2Outperforming ++ | 14 | +5.6 | +1.6 | 0:1 vs Taborsko akademie (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Hostoun (-1.7) |
5 | Pribram | 30 | 57 | 53.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 3 | -1.7 | +5.7 | 0:1 vs Domazlice (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Velvary (-1.8) |
6 | Admira Prague | 30 | 41 | 39.1 | +1.9On expectation | 9 | -0.1 | +2.0 | 0:1 vs Taborsko akademie (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Bohemians 1905 B (-1.9) |
7 | Taborsko akademie | 30 | 44 | 42.4 | +1.6On expectation | 5 | -3.3 | +4.9 | 0:1 vs Pribram (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Pisek (-2.0) |
8 | Plzen B | 30 | 57 | 55.5 | +1.5On expectation | 2 | +1.8 | -0.3 | 2:1 vs Domazlice (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Ceske Budejovice B (-2.4) |
9 | Domazlice | 30 | 63 | 61.9 | +1.1On expectation | 1 | +2.2 | -1.1 | 1:2 vs Velvary (+1.6) | 2:1 vs Bohemians 1905 B (-2.0) |
10 | FK Robstav | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0On expectation | 17 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — |
11 | Hostoun | 30 | 34 | 35.0 | -1.0On expectation | 13 | -2.5 | +1.5 | 2:1 vs Domazlice (+2.2) | 2:5 vs Dukla Prague B (-1.6) |
12 | Ceske Budejovice B | 30 | 38 | 39.4 | -1.4On expectation | 8 | -3.2 | +1.8 | 0:3 vs Plzen B (+2.6) | 0:1 vs Chomutov (-2.1) |
13 | Petrin Plzen | 30 | 29 | 32.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 15 | -4.0 | +0.6 | 0:2 vs Bohemians 1905 B (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Bohemians 1905 B (-1.7) |
14 | Velvary | 30 | 42 | 47.2 | -5.2Underperforming −− | 4 | -6.5 | +1.3 | 1:2 vs Plzen B (+2.1) | 2:5 vs Motorlet Prague (-2.2) |
15 | Chomutov | 30 | 22 | 29.8 | -7.8Underperforming −− | 16 | -5.3 | -2.5 | 0:1 vs Ceske Budejovice B (+2.3) | 3:5 vs Petrin Plzen (-1.7) |
16 | Povltavska FA | 30 | 27 | 38.0 | -11.0Underperforming −− | 10 | -10.2 | -0.8 | 1:2 vs Velvary (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Petrin Plzen (-1.8) |
17 | Loko Praha | 30 | 30 | 42.0 | -12.0Underperforming −− | 6 | -10.3 | -1.7 | 0:1 vs Ceske Budejovice B (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Bohemians 1905 B (-1.9) |
