3. CFL - Group Ahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Domazlice | 7 | 18 | 10.4 | +7.5Outperforming ++ | 7 | +5.4 | +2.1 | 2:0 vs Sparta Prague B (+2.0) | 3:2 vs Pisek (-1.0) |
2 | Karlovy Vary | 6 | 12 | 6.5 | +5.5Outperforming ++ | 15 | -0.7 | +6.2 | 0:1 vs Motorlet Prague (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Pribram B (-1.7) |
3 | Admira Prague | 7 | 15 | 9.9 | +5.1Outperforming ++ | 8 | +6.3 | -1.2 | 3:1 vs Slavia Prague B (+1.9) | 2:0 vs SK Rakovnik (-1.7) |
4 | Plzen B | 8 | 18 | 13.8 | +4.2Outperforming | 3 | +3.3 | +0.9 | 0:2 vs Loko Praha (+2.1) | 3:0 vs Admira Prague (-1.3) |
5 | Benesov | 8 | 12 | 9.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 11 | -2.4 | +5.3 | 0:2 vs Pisek (+2.3) | 2:5 vs Slavia Prague B (-1.5) |
6 | Sparta Prague B | 8 | 21 | 18.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 1 | +1.4 | +1.2 | 0:4 vs Benesov (+1.1) | 2:0 vs Domazlice (-1.8) |
7 | Pisek | 6 | 12 | 9.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 10 | +0.2 | +2.1 | 0:1 vs Kraluv Dvur (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Benesov (-2.1) |
8 | Hostoun | 7 | 9 | 7.0 | +2.0Outperforming | 14 | +4.3 | -2.3 | 1:0 vs Sokolov (+1.7) | 4:0 vs Benesov (-1.1) |
9 | Loko Praha | 8 | 15 | 13.9 | +1.1On expectation | 2 | -0.9 | +2.0 | 1:3 vs Kraluv Dvur (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Plzen B (-1.9) |
10 | Kraluv Dvur | 8 | 9 | 9.9 | -0.9On expectation | 9 | -1.0 | +0.1 | 2:3 vs Slavia Prague B (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Loko Praha (-1.7) |
11 | SK Rakovnik | 8 | 6 | 7.9 | -1.9On expectation | 13 | -2.6 | +0.7 | 2:0 vs Admira Prague (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Benesov (-1.4) |
12 | Povltavska FA | 8 | 9 | 11.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 6 | -2.1 | -0.6 | 2:1 vs Motorlet Prague (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Karlovy Vary (-2.1) |
13 | Slavia Prague B | 7 | 9 | 11.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 5 | -1.3 | -1.4 | 2:5 vs Benesov (+1.7) | 2:3 vs Kraluv Dvur (-1.8) |
14 | Motorlet Prague | 8 | 9 | 12.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 4 | -2.4 | -0.6 | 0:3 vs Pribram B (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Karlovy Vary (-2.3) |
15 | Sokolov | 6 | 0 | 4.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 16 | -3.0 | -1.9 | 10:0 vs Sparta Prague B (+-0.2) | 1:0 vs Hostoun (-1.3) |
16 | Pribram B | 8 | 3 | 8.2 | -5.2Underperforming −− | 12 | -4.4 | -0.7 | 1:2 vs Karlovy Vary (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Motorlet Prague (-1.7) |
