3. CFL - Group Ahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Loko Praha | 30 | 54 | 42.7 | +11.3Outperforming ++ | 6 | +8.7 | +2.6 | 0:2 vs Ceske Budejovice B (+1.9) | 3:4 vs Kraluv Dvur (-2.3) |
2 | Bohemians 1905 B | 30 | 57 | 49.0 | +8.0Outperforming ++ | 3 | +5.4 | +2.5 | 0:1 vs Plzen B (+2.2) | 3:1 vs Dukla Prague B (-1.8) |
3 | Domazlice | 30 | 65 | 57.6 | +7.4Outperforming ++ | 1 | +3.5 | +3.9 | 0:1 vs Plzen B (+1.9) | 5:1 vs FK Robstav (-1.9) |
4 | Povltavska FA | 30 | 39 | 33.4 | +5.6Outperforming ++ | 15 | +7.5 | -2.0 | 0:4 vs Karlovy Vary (+2.2) | 0:4 vs Admira Prague (-1.3) |
5 | Hostoun | 30 | 38 | 36.5 | +1.5On expectation | 13 | +1.7 | -0.2 | 1:2 vs Admira Prague (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Ceske Budejovice B (-1.9) |
6 | Admira Prague | 30 | 50 | 48.8 | +1.2On expectation | 4 | -0.4 | +1.6 | 0:2 vs Zbuzany (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Hostoun (-2.1) |
7 | Pisek | 30 | 38 | 37.3 | +0.7On expectation | 11 | -2.8 | +3.5 | 0:3 vs Admira Prague (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Sokolov (-2.0) |
8 | Dukla Prague B | 30 | 38 | 37.3 | +0.7On expectation | 10 | +1.5 | -0.8 | 1:4 vs FK Robstav (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Sokolov (-1.8) |
9 | Ceske Budejovice B | 30 | 36 | 35.6 | +0.4On expectation | 14 | -0.3 | +0.7 | 2:3 vs Zbuzany (+2.2) | 0:2 vs FK Robstav (-1.7) |
10 | Plzen B | 30 | 54 | 55.5 | -1.5On expectation | 2 | +1.8 | -3.3 | 1:2 vs Bohemians 1905 B (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Bohemians 1905 B (-2.0) |
11 | Karlovy Vary | 30 | 36 | 37.6 | -1.6On expectation | 9 | +0.6 | -2.2 | 1:2 vs Kraluv Dvur (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Hostoun (-2.0) |
12 | FK Robstav | 30 | 39 | 41.0 | -2.0On expectation | 7 | +5.0 | -7.0 | 5:1 vs Domazlice (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Sokolov (-2.2) |
13 | Kraluv Dvur | 30 | 35 | 37.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 12 | -2.5 | +0.3 | 3:4 vs Loko Praha (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Karlovy Vary (-1.9) |
14 | Motorlet Prague | 30 | 40 | 43.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 5 | -1.3 | -2.2 | 0:2 vs Bohemians 1905 B (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Sokolov (-1.6) |
15 | Sokolov | 30 | 23 | 31.3 | -8.3Underperforming −− | 16 | -5.5 | -2.8 | 0:2 vs FK Robstav (+2.4) | 1:5 vs Ceske Budejovice B (-1.7) |
16 | Zbuzany | 30 | 28 | 39.0 | -11.0Underperforming −− | 8 | -2.7 | -8.2 | 3:0 vs Domazlice (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Ceske Budejovice B (-1.9) |
