3. CFL - Group Ahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Loko Praha | 32 | 44 | 34.0 | +10.0Outperforming ++ | 15 | +8.2 | +1.8 | 1:0 vs Domazlice (+2.4) | 1:3 vs Admira Prague (-1.4) |
2 | Kraluv Dvur | 32 | 49 | 40.5 | +8.5Outperforming ++ | 10 | +5.7 | -0.2 | 1:4 vs Slavia Prague U20 (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Motorlet Prague (-1.5) |
3 | Domazlice | 32 | 69 | 61.6 | +7.4Outperforming ++ | 2 | +6.9 | -2.5 | 2:0 vs SK Kladno (+1.7) | 0:2 vs Pribram B (-2.5) |
4 | Aritma Prague | 32 | 45 | 37.9 | +7.1Outperforming ++ | 12 | +5.5 | +1.5 | 0:1 vs Slavia Prague U20 (+2.3) | 3:2 vs Pribram B (-1.1) |
5 | Admira Prague | 32 | 48 | 42.6 | +5.4Outperforming ++ | 6 | -9.6 | +12.1 | 1:3 vs SK Kladno (+2.6) | 0:3 vs Dukla Prague B (-1.7) |
6 | Slavia Prague U20 | 32 | 46 | 40.6 | +5.4Outperforming ++ | 9 | -5.3 | +4.8 | 2:1 vs SK Kladno (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Aritma Prague (-2.0) |
7 | Pisek | 32 | 52 | 47.7 | +4.3Outperforming | 4 | +2.0 | +2.3 | 0:1 vs Admira Prague (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Loko Praha (-2.0) |
8 | Pribram B | 32 | 40 | 36.6 | +3.4Outperforming | 13 | +7.1 | -3.7 | 0:2 vs Domazlice (+2.6) | 3:2 vs Loko Praha (-1.5) |
9 | SK Kladno | 32 | 72 | 68.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 1 | -2.4 | +4.6 | 0:3 vs Plzen B (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Admira Prague (-2.4) |
10 | Ceske Budejovice B | 32 | 45 | 41.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 8 | +2.1 | +1.1 | 3:6 vs Admira Prague (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Dukla Prague B (-1.5) |
11 | Plzen B | 32 | 61 | 58.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 3 | -0.2 | +2.4 | 0:1 vs Admira Prague (+1.4) | 1:2 vs Hostoun (-2.4) |
12 | Bohemians 1905 B | 32 | 38 | 38.6 | -0.6On expectation | 11 | +2.9 | -3.5 | 1:2 vs Loko Praha (+1.6) | 1:0 vs Petrin Plzen (-1.5) |
13 | Hostoun | 32 | 34 | 35.4 | -1.4On expectation | 14 | +0.3 | -4.7 | 1:2 vs Plzen B (+2.5) | 2:3 vs Loko Praha (-1.7) |
14 | Petrin Plzen | 32 | 28 | 31.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 17 | +5.7 | -8.8 | 0:2 vs Motorlet Prague (+2.4) | 1:3 vs Slavia Prague U20 (-1.2) |
15 | Dukla Prague B | 32 | 38 | 42.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 7 | -11.4 | +7.2 | 3:5 vs SK Kladno (+2.4) | 2:3 vs Taborsko akademie (-2.0) |
16 | Motorlet Prague | 32 | 34 | 44.6 | -10.6Underperforming −− | 5 | -11.6 | -0.0 | 2:3 vs Pisek (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Petrin Plzen (-2.2) |
17 | Taborsko akademie | 32 | 16 | 31.5 | -15.5Underperforming −− | 16 | -8.3 | -7.1 | 3:2 vs Domazlice (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Aritma Prague (-1.7) |
