CFL - Group A predicted table 2026/27
Czech Republic · The rest of the season simulated 10,000 times · updated 18 October 2026
- Ceske Budejovice are the most likely CFL - Group A champions, finishing first in 49% of 10,000 simulations (projected 33 points; Kraluv Dvur next on 29%).
- Povltavska FA (98%), Benesov (74%), Aritma Prague (74%) are more likely than not to finish in the bottom 3 places.
- Biggest move since the previous run: Kraluv Dvur's title chance rose 12 points to 29%.
| # | Team | P | Pts now | Proj. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ceske Budejovice | 11 | 25 | 3329–37 | 49% | 97% | 0% | 1st (49%) |
| 2 | Kraluv Dvur | 10 | 25 | 3228–36 | 29% | 93% | 0% | 1st (29%) |
| 3 | Domazlice | 10 | 21 | 3127–34 | 16% | 88% | 0% | 2nd (30%) |
| 4 | Plzen B | 9 | 17 | 2824–32 | 2% | 48% | 0% | 5th (25%) |
| 5 | Sparta Prague B | 10 | 17 | 2723–31 | 3% | 50% | 0% | 4th (25%) |
| 6 | Motorlet Prague | 12 | 21 | 2623–30 | <1% | 24% | 0% | 6th (36%) |
| 7 | Loko Praha | 11 | 15 | 2017–23 | 0% | <1% | <1% | 7th (28%) |
| 8 | Slavia Prague U20 | 11 | 14 | 1915–22 | 0% | <1% | <1% | 8th (21%) |
| 9 | Admira Prague | 10 | 11 | 1814–21 | 0% | <1% | 4% | 10th (15%) |
| 10 | Pisek | 10 | 11 | 1714–21 | 0% | <1% | 8% | 10th (16%) |
| 11 | Pribram B | 10 | 10 | 1714–21 | 0% | <1% | 6% | 11th (15%) |
| 12 | Bohemians 1905 B | 10 | 10 | 1713–20 | 0% | <1% | 11% | 12th (16%) |
| 13 | Dukla Prague B | 11 | 8 | 1512–19 | 0% | 0% | 24% | 13th (21%) |
| 14 | Aritma Prague | 10 | 8 | 129–16 | 0% | 0% | 74% | 15th (35%) |
| 15 | Benesov | 10 | 7 | 128–15 | 0% | 0% | 74% | 15th (37%) |
| 16 | Povltavska FA | 11 | 3 | 74–11 | 0% | 0% | 98% | 16th (82%) |
Order = average final points across all simulations. Proj. pts shows the average and the 10th–90th percentile range. Percentages are the share of simulations in which the club finishes in that zone.
How this table is made
Every club gets an attack and a defence rating from a Dixon-Coles model fitted to the league's results (recent matches weigh more). Each of the 39 remaining scheduled fixtures is then played out 10,000 times by sampling a scoreline from the model, and the final table of each run is recorded. Ties are separated by goal difference, then goals scored; head-to-head rules, point deductions and split rounds are not modelled. This is a statistical projection, not a tip.
How good are the model's probabilities? Its match forecasts are scored publicly, every match, on the calibration record.
Use this table
Free to republish with credit and a link to this page (CC BY 4.0). Journalists: contact@football-charts.com for a club-specific version.
