Club Brugge KV vs Antwerp
Jupiler Pro League, Belgium · 2026-09-13 · 13:30 CET
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LLLLLThe score model made a Club Brugge KV win the most likely outcome at 66%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 60%). It finished 3:1 (HT 1:1) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Club Brugge KV 2.20 – 0.92 Antwerp.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge KV win | 65.8% | 76.0% | -10.2% | ✓ |
| Draw | 20.2% | 14.8% | +5.4% | ✗ |
| Antwerp win | 14.0% | 9.2% | +4.8% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.4% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.3% | 69.4% | -9.1% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.0% | 48.5% | -10.6% | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 54.2% | 53.1% | +1.1% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 73.7% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 38.1% | 46.9% | -8.9% | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Club Brugge KV 44.9 / Antwerp 44.9 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Club Brugge KV vs Antwerp in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.