Genk U23 vs Club Brugge KV U23
Challenger Pro League, Belgium · 2026-10-24 · 16:00 CET
WWLDL
WLDDLThe score model makes a Club Brugge KV U23 win the most likely outcome at 41%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 64%). The data's biggest gap to the market: HT under 1.5 goals — 61.4% vs 54.6% implied (+6.8 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Genk U23 1.61 – 1.69 Club Brugge KV U23.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genk U23 win | 37.6% | 41.3% | -3.7% |
| Draw | 21.6% | 24.3% | -2.7% |
| Club Brugge KV U23 win | 40.8% | 34.4% | +6.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.5% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.1% | 64.3% | -0.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.0% | 46.0% | -4.0% |
| Both teams to score | 64.6% | 67.3% | -2.7% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 74.5% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 38.6% | 45.4% | -6.8% |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Genk U23 38.8 / Club Brugge KV U23 37.7 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Genk U23 vs Club Brugge KV U23 in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.