Wolfsberger AC vs SK Rapid
Bundesliga, Austria · 2026-09-12 · 19:30 CET
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LWWWWThe score model made an SK Rapid win the most likely outcome at 37%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 51%). It finished 0:3 (HT 0:2) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Wolfsberger AC 1.33 – 1.38 SK Rapid.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolfsberger AC win | 34.9% | 18.8% | +16.1% | ✗ |
| Draw | 28.1% | 21.3% | +6.8% | ✗ |
| SK Rapid win | 37.0% | 59.9% | -22.9% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.4% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.8% | 63.7% | -12.9% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.7% | 42.9% | -14.1% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 56.2% | 60.7% | -4.5% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 68.9% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 32.5% | 43.0% | -10.6% | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Wolfsberger AC 35.8 / SK Rapid 36.7 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Wolfsberger AC vs SK Rapid in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.