Premiership

• St. Mirren – Hibernian2026-10-28 19:45
  Under 2.5Model 56.9%Implied 45.5%▲ +11.4%
• Motherwell – St. Mirren2026-10-31 15:00
  Under 2.5Model 53.9%Implied 42.7%▲ +11.2%
• Kilmarnock – St Johnstone2026-10-31 15:00
  Home winModel 47.2%Implied 36.2%▲ +10.9%
• St Johnstone – Motherwell2026-10-28 19:45
  Under 2.5Model 57.5%Implied 50.5%▲ +7.0%
• Falkirk – Celtic2026-11-01 13:00
  FT U3.5Model 63.0%Implied 56.2%▲ +6.8%
• Hearts – Rangers2026-10-28 20:00
  Home winModel 38.4%Implied 32.1%▲ +6.3%
• Celtic – Dundee Utd2026-10-28 19:45
  BTTS: NoModel 50.5%Implied 45.7%▲ +4.9%
• Aberdeen – Falkirk2026-10-28 19:45
  Away winModel 32.3%Implied 29.2%▲ +3.0%
• Dundee FC – Kilmarnock2026-10-28 19:45
  Home winModel 51.0%Implied 51.5%-0.6%

#	Match	Date	Time	Market	Model %	Implied	Divergence▼	Odds
1	St. Mirren–HibernianPremiership	2026-10-28	19:45	Under 2.5	56.9%	45.5%	▲ +11.4%	2.20
2	Motherwell–St. MirrenPremiership	2026-10-31	15:00	Under 2.5	53.9%	42.7%	▲ +11.2%	2.34
3	Kilmarnock–St JohnstonePremiership	2026-10-31	15:00	Home win	47.2%	36.2%	▲ +10.9%	2.76
4	St Johnstone–MotherwellPremiership	2026-10-28	19:45	Under 2.5	57.5%	50.5%	▲ +7.0%	1.98
5	Falkirk–CelticPremiership	2026-11-01	13:00	FT U3.5	63.0%	56.2%	▲ +6.8%	1.78
6	Hearts–RangersPremiership	2026-10-28	20:00	Home win	38.4%	32.1%	▲ +6.3%	3.12
7	Celtic–Dundee UtdPremiership	2026-10-28	19:45	BTTS: No	50.5%	45.7%	▲ +4.9%	2.19
8	Aberdeen–FalkirkPremiership	2026-10-28	19:45	Away win	32.3%	29.2%	▲ +3.0%	3.42
9	Dundee FC–KilmarnockPremiership	2026-10-28	19:45	Home win	51.0%	51.5%	-0.6%	1.94

Premiership predictions and stats by market: 1X2 · Over 2.5 · Under 2.5 · BTTS · HT Over 1.5 · HT Under 1.5

We simulate the remaining Premiership schedule 10,000 times a day. Celtic win the 2026-2027 title in 89% of them, projecting ~78 points — the race is close to decided. At the other end, Kilmarnock finish in the bottom three in 75% of simulations. Biggest move after the latest results: Rangers's title chance up 4 points in a day.

#	Team	Pts now	Proj. pts	Range	Title	Top 4	Bottom 3
1	Celtic	27	78	71–85	▼89%	>99%	—
2	Rangers	23	68	60–75	▲10%	>99%	—
3	Hearts	19	58	51–66	<1%	97%	<1%
4	Dundee Utd	15	42	35–50	—	22%	13%
5	Falkirk	12	41	34–49	—	18%	17%
· · ·
10	St. Mirren	13	36	29–44	—	4%	48%
11	St Johnstone	12	35	28–43	—	3%	55%
12	Kilmarnock	8	32	25–40	—	<1%	75%

Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 138 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.

<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/scotland/premiership/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Premiership live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/scotland/premiership">Premiership stats by Football Charts</a></p>

How each market's prices compared with what happened in every Premiership match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.