Premiershiphub →Premiership 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
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Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Falkirk | 13 | 21 | 13.7 | +7.3Outperforming ++ | 9 | +1.5 | +5.7 | 2:0 vs Celtic (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Dundee FC (-1.7) |
2 | Dundee FC | 12 | 17 | 12.9 | +4.1Outperforming | 11 | +3.7 | +0.4 | 1:2 vs Falkirk (+2.0) | 2:1 vs St Johnstone (-1.4) |
3 | Celtic | 13 | 31 | 28.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 1 | +0.1 | +2.4 | 7:1 vs Hearts (+1.1) | 2:0 vs Falkirk (-2.1) |
4 | Rangers | 12 | 27 | 25.2 | +1.8On expectation | 2 | 0.0 | +1.8 | 0:1 vs Celtic (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Hibernian (-2.2) |
5 | St Johnstone | 13 | 17 | 15.5 | +1.5On expectation | 8 | +2.8 | -1.2 | 0:1 vs Aberdeen (+2.0) | 1:0 vs St. Mirren (-1.3) |
6 | Dundee Utd | 12 | 17 | 15.6 | +1.4On expectation | 6 | +0.1 | +1.3 | 0:3 vs St. Mirren (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Dundee FC (-1.7) |
7 | St. Mirren | 13 | 14 | 13.6 | +0.4On expectation | 10 | -0.1 | +0.5 | 0:2 vs Falkirk (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Dundee Utd (-1.5) |
8 | Hearts | 12 | 20 | 20.0 | +0.0On expectation | 3 | +1.9 | -1.9 | 1:3 vs Hibernian (+1.8) | 2:5 vs Falkirk (-2.0) |
9 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 9 | 12.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 12 | -1.9 | -1.1 | 0:1 vs Hibernian (+2.4) | 0:4 vs Dundee Utd (-1.4) |
10 | Motherwell | 13 | 13 | 17.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 5 | -1.6 | -2.3 | 1:2 vs Hibernian (+2.0) | 0:4 vs Aberdeen (-1.8) |
11 | Aberdeen | 12 | 11 | 15.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 7 | -3.8 | -0.8 | 0:4 vs Motherwell (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Falkirk (-1.7) |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 11 | 18.1 | -7.1Underperforming −− | 4 | -9.1 | +2.0 | 1:2 vs Rangers (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Kilmarnock (-2.2) |