Premiershiphub →Premiership 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dundee FC | 7 | 10 | 7.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 10 | +2.0 | +1.0 | 0:2 vs Dundee Utd (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Hibernian (-1.1) |
2 | Celtic | 7 | 18 | 15.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 1 | +0.0 | +2.6 | 0:1 vs St Johnstone (+0.9) | 0:1 vs Rangers (-1.5) |
3 | Rangers | 7 | 16 | 13.8 | +2.1Outperforming | 2 | -0.8 | +3.0 | 0:1 vs Celtic (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Hibernian (-2.2) |
4 | St. Mirren | 7 | 10 | 7.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 8 | -1.0 | +3.0 | 0:2 vs Falkirk (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Dundee Utd (-1.5) |
5 | Hearts | 7 | 13 | 12.1 | +0.9On expectation | 3 | +3.2 | -2.3 | 1:3 vs Hibernian (+1.8) | 2:1 vs Falkirk (-1.7) |
6 | Aberdeen | 7 | 8 | 7.8 | +0.2On expectation | 9 | -0.1 | +0.3 | 0:4 vs Motherwell (+2.0) | 2:0 vs Dundee FC (-1.4) |
7 | Falkirk | 7 | 6 | 6.9 | -0.9On expectation | 11 | -0.3 | -0.6 | 2:1 vs Hearts (+2.0) | 0:2 vs St. Mirren (-1.6) |
8 | Dundee Utd | 7 | 8 | 8.9 | -0.9On expectation | 7 | -2.2 | +1.2 | 0:3 vs St. Mirren (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Dundee FC (-1.7) |
9 | St Johnstone | 7 | 8 | 8.9 | -0.9On expectation | 6 | +1.7 | -2.6 | 2:1 vs Hibernian (+1.7) | 1:0 vs St. Mirren (-1.3) |
10 | Motherwell | 7 | 8 | 9.5 | -1.5On expectation | 5 | -1.1 | -0.4 | 1:2 vs Hibernian (+2.0) | 0:4 vs Aberdeen (-1.8) |
11 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 5 | 6.7 | -1.7On expectation | 12 | -3.2 | +1.5 | 0:1 vs Hibernian (+2.4) | 0:4 vs Dundee Utd (-1.4) |
12 | Hibernian | 7 | 7 | 10.9 | -4.0Underperforming | 4 | -6.3 | +2.4 | 1:2 vs Rangers (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Kilmarnock (-2.2) |