Premiershiphub →Premiership 2022-2023 Performance vs Market
Regular phase only. Premiership splits into championship and relegation groups after round 33; those deciding rounds aren't in our dataset yet, so this is the table at the split — not the final standings, and first place here isn't necessarily the season's champion.
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtic | 33 | 92 | 81.9 | +10.1Outperforming ++ | 1 | +5.7 | +4.4 | 4:0 vs Rangers (+1.1) | 2:0 vs St. Mirren (-2.5) |
2 | Aberdeen | 33 | 53 | 46.4 | +6.6Outperforming ++ | 5 | +10.2 | -3.6 | 2:0 vs Rangers (+2.3) | 2:3 vs Motherwell (-1.9) |
3 | Livingston | 33 | 42 | 37.0 | +5.0Outperforming | 8 | +6.3 | -1.3 | 1:0 vs Hearts (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Ross County (-1.8) |
4 | Rangers | 33 | 79 | 74.0 | +5.0Outperforming | 2 | +4.8 | +0.1 | 1:4 vs Hibernian (+1.0) | 2:1 vs St Johnstone (-2.4) |
5 | St. Mirren | 33 | 44 | 39.4 | +4.6Outperforming | 6 | +8.3 | -3.7 | 2:0 vs Celtic (+2.6) | 0:2 vs Kilmarnock (-1.6) |
6 | Hearts | 33 | 48 | 46.5 | +1.5On expectation | 4 | +8.3 | -6.8 | 0:3 vs Motherwell (+1.7) | 1:0 vs Livingston (-1.6) |
7 | St Johnstone | 33 | 33 | 33.3 | -0.3On expectation | 11 | -5.3 | +5.0 | 2:1 vs Rangers (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Ross County (-1.5) |
8 | Motherwell | 33 | 37 | 38.8 | -1.8On expectation | 7 | -6.4 | +4.6 | 2:3 vs Aberdeen (+2.2) | 0:2 vs St Johnstone (-1.7) |
9 | Dundee Utd | 33 | 31 | 34.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 10 | +0.1 | -3.4 | 1:0 vs Hibernian (+2.1) | 1:2 vs St Johnstone (-1.5) |
10 | Hibernian | 33 | 44 | 47.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 3 | +1.8 | -5.5 | 0:1 vs St. Mirren (+1.7) | 0:2 vs Ross County (-2.2) |
11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 31 | 35.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 9 | +6.3 | -10.3 | 1:0 vs Hibernian (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Livingston (-1.5) |
12 | Ross County | 33 | 27 | 31.8 | -4.8Underperforming | 12 | -3.8 | -1.0 | 0:2 vs Hibernian (+2.4) | 1:2 vs St Johnstone (-1.5) |