Premiershiphub →Premiership 2024-2025 Performance vs Market
Regular phase only. Premiership splits into championship and relegation groups after round 33; those deciding rounds aren't in our dataset yet, so this is the table at the split — not the final standings, and first place here isn't necessarily the season's champion.
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dundee Utd | 33 | 50 | 41.4 | +8.6Outperforming ++ | 7 | +0.8 | +7.9 | 0:1 vs Hearts (+2.2) | 2:4 vs Dundee FC (-1.8) |
2 | Hibernian | 33 | 53 | 47.8 | +5.2Outperforming ++ | 3 | +4.7 | +0.6 | 2:1 vs Celtic (+2.4) | 1:2 vs St. Mirren (-1.8) |
3 | Motherwell | 33 | 39 | 34.3 | +4.7Outperforming | 10 | +3.0 | +1.6 | 1:2 vs Rangers (+2.7) | 0:1 vs Dundee FC (-1.7) |
4 | Ross County | 33 | 35 | 30.9 | +4.2Outperforming | 11 | +2.0 | +2.2 | 0:1 vs Kilmarnock (+2.3) | 3:0 vs St Johnstone (-1.3) |
5 | Aberdeen | 33 | 50 | 46.2 | +3.8Outperforming | 5 | +3.1 | +0.7 | 2:1 vs Rangers (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Ross County (-1.9) |
6 | St. Mirren | 33 | 41 | 40.3 | +0.7On expectation | 8 | -0.5 | +1.2 | 0:2 vs Rangers (+2.7) | 0:1 vs St Johnstone (-1.8) |
7 | Celtic | 33 | 81 | 81.1 | -0.1On expectation | 1 | +2.9 | -3.0 | 3:0 vs Rangers (+1.1) | 1:0 vs St Johnstone (-2.6) |
8 | St Johnstone | 33 | 29 | 29.9 | -0.9On expectation | 12 | +0.3 | -1.2 | 1:0 vs Celtic (+2.7) | 1:3 vs Dundee FC (-1.4) |
9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 34 | 35.3 | -1.3On expectation | 9 | -1.7 | +0.4 | 2:4 vs Dundee Utd (+2.0) | 1:2 vs St Johnstone (-1.9) |
10 | Rangers | 33 | 66 | 70.7 | -4.7Underperforming | 2 | -1.8 | -2.9 | 2:3 vs Celtic (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Motherwell (-2.6) |
11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 35 | 41.7 | -6.7Underperforming −− | 6 | +1.9 | -8.7 | 1:0 vs Rangers (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Ross County (-2.0) |
12 | Hearts | 33 | 40 | 47.4 | -7.4Underperforming −− | 4 | -2.0 | -5.4 | 0:1 vs Dundee Utd (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Dundee Utd (-1.9) |