Premiershiphub →Premiership 2020-2021 Performance vs Market
Regular phase only. Premiership splits into championship and relegation groups after round 33; those deciding rounds aren't in our dataset yet, so this is the table at the split — not the final standings, and first place here isn't necessarily the season's champion.
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Rangers | 33 | 89 | 77.8 | +11.2Outperforming ++ | 1 | +8.5 | +2.6 | 0:2 vs Celtic (+1.5) | 1:1 vs Hamilton (-1.6) |
2 | Hibernian | 33 | 56 | 49.3 | +6.7Outperforming ++ | 4 | -1.9 | +8.7 | 1:4 vs Livingston (+1.7) | 0:2 vs Ross County (-2.1) |
3 | Dundee Utd | 33 | 39 | 34.8 | +4.2Outperforming | 10 | +4.3 | -0.1 | 0:1 vs Motherwell (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Livingston (-1.3) |
4 | Hamilton | 33 | 27 | 23.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 12 | -1.1 | +4.2 | 0:1 vs Motherwell (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Ross County (-1.3) |
5 | St. Mirren | 33 | 40 | 38.2 | +1.8On expectation | 8 | -2.1 | +3.9 | 1:2 vs Celtic (+2.5) | 1:2 vs Hibernian (-1.3) |
6 | Livingston | 33 | 44 | 45.0 | -1.0On expectation | 5 | -2.8 | +1.8 | 0:2 vs Aberdeen (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Hamilton (-2.0) |
7 | Aberdeen | 33 | 49 | 50.1 | -1.1On expectation | 3 | +3.0 | -4.2 | 0:1 vs Hibernian (+1.7) | 4:1 vs Ross County (-1.9) |
8 | Ross County | 33 | 29 | 30.6 | -1.6On expectation | 11 | -0.9 | -0.7 | 1:0 vs Celtic (+2.6) | 0:2 vs Hamilton (-1.8) |
9 | Celtic | 33 | 69 | 73.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 2 | -0.9 | -3.6 | 1:2 vs St Johnstone (+1.0) | 1:0 vs Ross County (-2.5) |
10 | St Johnstone | 33 | 40 | 44.7 | -4.7Underperforming | 6 | -3.7 | -1.1 | 1:2 vs Kilmarnock (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Ross County (-1.8) |
11 | Motherwell | 33 | 35 | 39.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 7 | -6.4 | +1.5 | 0:2 vs Hibernian (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Hamilton (-2.1) |
12 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 28 | 37.7 | -9.7Underperforming −− | 9 | -2.1 | -7.6 | 1:3 vs Livingston (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Hamilton (-1.8) |